TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Qatar (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Switzerlandof Qatar, Switzerland
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$102,365
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,920

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,365 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb1bf…f74bbacked Qatar1c20,000$260 inLost-$2606334.9%22 W · 41 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b3c…83e6backed Qatar1c6,471$97 inLost-$971936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick30cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Qatar2c6,451$113 inLost-$112.752,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Qatar2c5,205$97 inLost-$97.388,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc92…7e4abacked Qatar2c2,520$48 inLost-$47.593721.6%8 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick18cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Qatar2c2,308$44 inLost-$43.8530220.2%61 W · 241 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6df8…22c8backed Qatar1c2,280$23 inLost-$22.620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0426…7133backed Qatar1c1,669$23 inLost-$23.361330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick18cpaid-0.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cff…15d1backed Qatar1c1,556$20 inLost-$2011242.9%48 W · 64 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Qatar2c1,316$25 inLost-$2511631.9%37 W · 79 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6c7…1d58backed Qatar2c1,150$20 inLost-$2011341.6%47 W · 66 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8f8…28babacked Qatar1c1,021$10 inLost-$102927.6%8 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid+34.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2255…cffdbacked Qatar2c1,010$15 inLost-$15.15714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-81.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Qatar2c969.42$15 inLost-$14.894,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Qatar1c937.28$13 inLost-$12.623,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Qatar1c769.98$11 inLost-$10.531,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.