TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$244,976
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$291,354

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,976 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over16c26,380$4,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,316.593,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb29f…f24dbacked Over20c8,353$1,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,670.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…ef38backed Over9c8,202$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.149323.7%22 W · 71 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over20c8,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60059230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over13c7,043$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.844,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over14c5,721$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.9277845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over14c5,057$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.963,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over19c4,201$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.191,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over16c3,818$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.8568141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over25c2,817$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.4910836.1%39 W · 69 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over19c2,633$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.311,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under79c2,455$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.6466846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over14c2,144$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.152,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Under79c2,000$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42010471.2%74 W · 30 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Over8c1,875$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503312.1%4 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick13cpaid-43.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82c1…c2c6backed Over18c1,714$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.54746.8%22 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over16c1,477$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.843826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8263…e57ebacked Over18c1,320$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.64639.1%18 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over19c1,083$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.388,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over18c1,000$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17564443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over19c999.99$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over19c963.25$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.392,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbffb…a60ebacked Under80c892.34$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.4710834.3%37 W · 71 L-19.9wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-37.7%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over12c858.14$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.9158642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd22…11ffbacked Under80c856.73$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.356732.8%22 W · 45 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over19c847$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.931,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Under80c754.18$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8422355.6%124 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5978…a870backed Over2c741.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.46240%0 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over18c722.32$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.042,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over19c719.21$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.6548152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over8c709.73$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2334924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d17…5297backed Over18c666.67$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203821.1%8 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid+96.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over18c649.39$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.8915141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Over17c628.8$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.916065%104 W · 56 L+16.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+34.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1cc7…43e5backed Over8c624.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9913830.4%42 W · 96 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Over17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007424.3%18 W · 56 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+33.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under71c563.58$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.633740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1bda…edd3backed Over19c549.99$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.57027.1%19 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over17c540.34$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.0339644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b2…4cebbacked Over19c526.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.997524%18 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over18c442.63$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.531,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over17c422$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.241,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over20c415$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.271,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over28c408.7$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.955731.6%18 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over14c400$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5623820.6%49 W · 189 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Over31c345.97$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.293823.7%9 W · 29 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over25c292.27$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.544425%11 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6497…0797backed Under80c287.5$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over12c282.65$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7921630.1%65 W · 151 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under72c281.23$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.22,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under73c265.15$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1246445.5%211 W · 253 L-1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over27c264.25$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.057431.1%23 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over17c254$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3925848.4%125 W · 133 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Over20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5052441.4%217 W · 307 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over17c232.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4045120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x372e…4453backed Over18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3614829.1%43 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d4e…c662backed Under69c199.99$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634153.7%22 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Over10c193.7$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.372416.7%4 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-74.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over17c191.02$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.161,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over34c171.23$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2238437%142 W · 242 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under66c166.15$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4983153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d91…f6dabacked Over19c155.11$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2913633.1%45 W · 91 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x280e…b409backed Over20c155$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3112818%23 W · 105 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Over20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306041.7%25 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3510…d3bdbacked Over19c149.98$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.53920.5%8 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe262…0b1cbacked Over14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb0…34ecbacked Over19c142.11$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4de…846bbacked Under80c130$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263271.9%23 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick73cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f85…b3b7backed Over19c127.68$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.26540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid-15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4061…dde5backed Over8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1015722.3%35 W · 122 L+0.7wins0.00per pick22cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over45c122.74$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.233161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Over19c120.27$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.271,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over18c119.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.246525.4%118 W · 347 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over10c119.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.42,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x8cd4…f0e5backed Over16c118.75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x369f…798bbacked Over17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018236.3%66 W · 116 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd419…3f03backed Over18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209037.8%34 W · 56 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c4…d0e1backed Over18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204744.7%21 W · 26 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x703c…6f15backed Over18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over17c105.88$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187122.5%16 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0c3…dde1backed Over15c105.36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164725.5%12 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-46%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0326…3daebacked Over19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019031.6%60 W · 130 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over14c103.94$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.191,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9836…5765backed Under79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212748.1%13 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick61cpaid-25.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.231553%167 W · 148 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x387a…8eaebacked Over17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1732928%92 W · 237 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xab6b…521bbacked Over17c99.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1718426.1%48 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc972…c7b8backed Over11c99.93$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9913138.9%51 W · 80 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over17c98.12$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.681,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Under69c95.02$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1398134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d63…aa21backed Over19c89.47$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over20c88.55$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.751,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8981…ce82backed Under77c85$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.49830.6%30 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd424…bf7bbacked Over16c84.89$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149033.3%30 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over17c76.47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1311436%41 W · 73 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Over17c70.59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1227445.3%124 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd855…9796backed Over19c68.42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-40.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba90…a450backed Over18c66.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126533.8%22 W · 43 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8c52…cdf1backed Over18c66.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128327.7%23 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-33.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.