Kai Havertz: 1+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe05e16ab906c397836e0d87d89cf0fde1646df717472499062355e9e025a9197

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $47,660
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $60,612

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,660 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf438…9559backed No	42c	15,543$6,528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,528.27	144	49.3%71 W · 73 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd97d…6bf4backed Yes	58c	5,690$3,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,389.66	18	50%9 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No	41c	3,577$1,468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,468.16	327	65.7%215 W · 112 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No	39c	3,359$1,322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,322	464	64.9%301 W · 163 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Yes	62c	2,410$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$909.85	214	42.5%91 W · 123 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No	41c	2,013$835 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$835.3	148	60.1%89 W · 59 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x502e…5442backed Yes	60c	1,656$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$655.7	167	46.7%78 W · 89 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Yes	59c	1,484$875 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$608.26	151	40.4%61 W · 90 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef13…53d2backed Yes	58c	1,034$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$434.48	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	+2.9wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2461…f240backed Yes	58c	1,016$589 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$426.71	144	45.8%66 W · 78 L	+7.2wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5044…f67fbacked Yes	58c	1,000$580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$420	60	31.7%19 W · 41 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No	41c	999.98$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$409.99	215	42.8%92 W · 123 L	+10.4wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No	42c	999.92$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$419.97	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad84…1897backed Yes	58c	880.17$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$369.67	142	43.7%62 W · 80 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1695…324cbacked Yes	65c	707.06$462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.06	109	31.2%34 W · 75 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Yes	58c	700$406 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	+6.6wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe827…5209backed No	42c	695.45$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.45	114	40.4%46 W · 68 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Yes	58c	676.65$394 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282.96	140	61.4%86 W · 54 L	+8.2wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x69e7…7cb7backed Yes	58c	603.45$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$253.45	51	51%26 W · 25 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdac1…baddbacked No	41c	599.96$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.98	311	71.4%222 W · 89 L	+15.4wins	+0.05per pick	66cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93fb…b608backed No	41c	552.97$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.22	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.19per pick	59cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes	58c	550$319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$231	139	33.8%47 W · 92 L	+7.8wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	+31.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No	23c	543.36$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.45	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1a…bc89backed Yes	58c	517.25$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$217.25	109	59.6%65 W · 44 L	+9.7wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa661…af49backed No	43c	465.12$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	50	44%22 W · 28 L	-3.4wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x381b…4d74backed No	43c	445$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.35	84	40.5%34 W · 50 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No	43c	445$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.35	221	39.8%88 W · 133 L	-8.7wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No	44c	439.06$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.06	343	57.7%198 W · 145 L	+26.2wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes	58c	400$234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.36	154	48.7%75 W · 79 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4dd…23ffbacked Yes	58c	400$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168	162	40.1%65 W · 97 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9236…db6dbacked Yes	58c	377.93$219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.73	163	41.1%67 W · 96 L	+6.6wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No	35c	364.6$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.51	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cff…72f4backed Yes	58c	344.83$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.83	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-65.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Yes	58c	344.83$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.83	25	72%18 W · 7 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	67cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc790…cbd2backed Yes	58c	344.83$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.83	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed No	31c	336.38$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.63	423	36.9%156 W · 267 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes	57c	324.07$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.35	225	51.6%116 W · 109 L	-6.8wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fdc…2234backed Yes	54c	323.23$176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.27	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	+3.2wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf87c…8c97backed Yes	59c	316.95$187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.95	161	23.6%38 W · 123 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78ae…143abacked Yes	58c	308.17$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.6	116	32.8%38 W · 78 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9720…afa4backed Yes	57c	300$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129	157	42%66 W · 91 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed No	35c	300$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	333	50.5%168 W · 165 L	+24.7wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No	37c	257.93$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.52	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes	61c	250$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.5	130	45.4%59 W · 71 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No	36c	233.02$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.77	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x170e…aa0dbacked Yes	58c	215.52$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.52	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes	58c	178.81$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.4	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83ca…5168backed Yes	58c	172.41$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.41	91	48.4%44 W · 47 L	+5.7wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+12%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c4f…0b9ebacked Yes	58c	172.41$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.41	167	50.9%85 W · 82 L	+5.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d82…ea1fbacked Yes	58c	172.41$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.41	61	36.1%22 W · 39 L	-6.1wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa7b3…d2a0backed Yes	58c	172.41$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.41	73	45.2%33 W · 40 L	-4.7wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a4a…044ebacked Yes	58c	172.41$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.41	37	21.6%8 W · 29 L	-3.9wins	-0.11per pick	32cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5fbb…53c4backed Yes	58c	172.41$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.41	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…cf98backed Yes	58c	172.41$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.41	98	34.7%34 W · 64 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Yes	58c	171.53$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.04	291	38.5%112 W · 179 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7c8…e573backed Yes	58c	170$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.4	70	50%35 W · 35 L	+4.5wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3548…0ebbbacked Yes	58c	166.78$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.05	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed Yes	61c	163.93$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.93	115	66.1%76 W · 39 L	+10.8wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x460a…b164backed Yes	62c	160.54$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.54	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2afc…3b3cbacked Yes	64c	152.94$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.12	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+56.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No	38c	126.86$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.83	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x17f5…f087backed Yes	59c	123.73$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.73	162	50%81 W · 81 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x61ca…a1b4backed Yes	58c	119$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.24	67	29.9%20 W · 47 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6f4…e4cbbacked Yes	66c	114.15$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.15	154	46.8%72 W · 82 L	-6.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-16%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf24b…1353backed Yes	58c	107.5$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.15	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.24per pick	56cpaid	+43.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89a3…3b43backed Yes	58c	103.45$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.45	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-52%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bc4…0fd1backed Yes	58c	103.45$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.45	52	55.8%29 W · 23 L	+5.0wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9aa1…36f6backed Yes	58c	103$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.26	81	53.1%43 W · 38 L	-6.2wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc5a…07b6backed Yes	59c	98.43$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.74	98	32.7%32 W · 66 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb74…50d8backed Yes	58c	96.55$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.55	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8ad…aaa3backed Yes	67c	94.64$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.67	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb855…c1bebacked Yes	58c	86.21$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.21	192	45.8%88 W · 104 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe89…e3c0backed Yes	58c	86.21$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.21	82	45.1%37 W · 45 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5751…cb3abacked Yes	58c	86.21$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.21	38	63.2%24 W · 14 L	+5.4wins	+0.14per pick	49cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0x4dbd…4476backed Yes	58c	86.21$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.21	212	50.9%108 W · 104 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Yes	58c	86.21$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.21	59	39%23 W · 36 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bd7…047abacked Yes	58c	86.21$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.21	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-66.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes	58c	83.5$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.07	128	29.7%38 W · 90 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2299…d23abacked Yes	60c	83.33$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.33	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa504…c842backed Yes	61c	81.97$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.97	76	51.3%39 W · 37 L	+5.1wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd660…dd8bbacked Yes	58c	76.98$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.33	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+2.5wins	+0.25per pick	55cpaid	+57.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x83ba…2404backed Yes	58c	75.86$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.86	70	58.6%41 W · 29 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No	40c	74.17$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.92	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2d6…8727backed Yes	58c	71.95$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.22	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	32cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8aa…e4d1backed Yes	58c	68.97$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.97	251	50.6%127 W · 124 L	+10.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…0a64backed Yes	58c	68.97$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.97	122	54.1%66 W · 56 L	+6.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Yes	58c	68.93$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.95	271	54.6%148 W · 123 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c99…f980backed Yes	58c	68.91$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.94	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	58c	66.16$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.64	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Yes	59c	61.76$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.32	197	42.1%83 W · 114 L	-11.1wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddc3…000bbacked Yes	59c	60$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.6	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71cc…9144backed Yes	61c	57.38$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.38	235	44.7%105 W · 130 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df7…3d27backed Yes	59c	55.93$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.93	46	52.2%24 W · 22 L	+5.3wins	+0.12per pick	41cpaid	+26%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6af5…7d3ebacked Yes	58c	51.72$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.72	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.17per pick	54cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x439b…e1dfbacked Yes	58c	51.72$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.72	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes	58c	51.43$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	70	58.6%41 W · 29 L	+4.1wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes	61c	50$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.5	43	53.5%23 W · 20 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes	58c	50$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…2858backed No	40c	49.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	154	49.4%76 W · 78 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9981…2d71backed Yes	60c	48.33$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.33	41	26.8%11 W · 30 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Kai Havertz: 1+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event