Jamal Musiala: 1+ assists

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50e00893c1420c88f487b835708d496d1b6c278d7409efab9e3e4eea1ab694c8

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,509
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,497

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,509 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdac1…baddbacked No	57c	806.79$461 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$345.99	311	71.4%222 W · 89 L	+15.4wins	+0.05per pick	66cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No	57c	468.29$267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.37	464	64.9%301 W · 163 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes	44c	433.64$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	225	51.6%116 W · 109 L	-6.8wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6642…eea1backed Yes	42c	340.48$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x78ae…143abacked Yes	43c	254.34$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.37	116	32.8%38 W · 78 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fdc…2234backed Yes	59c	215.51$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.13	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	+3.2wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No	41c	123.74$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.01	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0438…cf98backed Yes	43c	111.63$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	98	34.7%34 W · 64 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No	56c	104.47$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.47	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No	57c	80$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.4	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x89a3…3b43backed Yes	42c	59.52$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-52%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…c14abacked Yes	42c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-16%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Yes	34c	49.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	308	36%111 W · 197 L	-17.3wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	115	60%69 W · 46 L	+9.2wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed No	51c	31.95$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.65	73	54.8%40 W · 33 L	+9.8wins	+0.13per pick	41cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x277f…09a1backed Yes	40c	25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Jamal Musiala: 1+ assists

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event