Fifa International · resolved market
United States leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5ed23b3518b0350662e50ef374f3ea880447ba184fc669c4164a2c956b01275
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,509
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,509 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 66c | 30,000$19,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,949.84 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 34c | 27,997$9,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,522.44 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb85f…b9a0backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 67c | 8,000$5,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,329.97 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 6,106$4,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,102.56 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 36c | 5,080$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,272.71 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 33c | 4,555$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,051.72 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 66c | 4,444$2,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,932.97 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 66c | 4,369$2,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,886.58 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 42c | 4,288$1,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,504.74 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 39c | 3,385$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.01 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 33c | 3,030$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.3 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Yes | 34c | 2,940$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940.24 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 34c | 2,425$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.22 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…a61cbacked Yes | 34c | 1,720$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.28 | 144 | 30.6%44 W · 100 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 65c | 1,643$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.36 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed No | 68c | 1,475$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 5c | 1,356$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e70…582fbacked Yes | 34c | 1,327$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.89 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Yes | 33c | 1,111$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.36 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 67c | 1,084$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.26 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 34c | 1,050$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.01 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Yes | 32c | 999.99$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 66c | 926.37$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.4 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked No | 14c | 902$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.37 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 66c | 827.11$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.89 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 66c | 815.61$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.3 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 2c | 760.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…2871backed Yes | 34c | 691.18$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.18 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 66c | 687.64$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.84 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…3977backed Yes | 34c | 657.88$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.38 | 54 | 22.2%12 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 4c | 633$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e7…31f3backed Yes | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.06 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 35c | 598.03$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.07 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 66c | 592.44$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.01 | 408 | 48.8%199 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…cd3fbacked Yes | 33c | 589.55$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.55 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 34c | 369.08$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.72 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed No | 67c | 330.68$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.16 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 37c | 294.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.71 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 286 | 26.9%77 W · 209 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd830…7848backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd252…775bbacked Yes | 34c | 288.38$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.33 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2739…fd7cbacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 65c | 273.4$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.85 | 344 | 55.5%191 W · 153 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 34c | 264.71$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.71 | 210 | 48.6%102 W · 108 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 10c | 257.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 28c | 249.46$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.39 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…af2cbacked Yes | 34c | 237.63$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.63 | 180 | 27.2%49 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…ae13backed Yes | 34c | 235.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.29 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Yes | 37c | 208.72$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.15 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Yes | 34c | 204.21$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.21 | 180 | 40%72 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8136…772cbacked No | 68c | 185.45$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.5 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 66c | 176.62$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.57 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cd…2eedbacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 63c | 150$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d41…5863backed Yes | 33c | 150$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -7.8wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda89…0ed5backed Yes | 34c | 147.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.38 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac6…3684backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfc…5943backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…a83bbacked Yes | 34c | 134.41$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.71 | 105 | 23.8%25 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 34c | 134.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.13 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea7…7fc0backed No | 65c | 125.85$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.8 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb221…a639backed Yes | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 125 | 20%25 W · 100 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f20…6a22backed Yes | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca1…ee3fbacked Yes | 33c | 115.15$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.15 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5e…502ebacked Yes | 33c | 110$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.7 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a3…6168backed No | 67c | 104.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.1wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…14b3backed No | 66c | 102.71$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.79 | 282 | 57.1%161 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a0…111abacked No | 65c | 99.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…8f34backed Yes | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3f…cca2backed Yes | 33c | 95.45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…4e57backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…2d71backed Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…480abacked Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 120 | 28.3%34 W · 86 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…4a74backed Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 173 | 22.5%39 W · 134 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ad…1014backed Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 65c | 69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Yes | 69c | 65.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 294 | 63.3%186 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…52d2backed Yes | 34c | 64.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.71 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Yes | 33c | 63.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 140 | 35.7%50 W · 90 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973d…e294backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 301 | 48.2%145 W · 156 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fed…c3bdbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x052c…3136backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10e5…b4e9backed Yes | 34c | 60.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked No | 67c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 823 | 48.8%402 W · 421 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 31c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332d…193fbacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68f…6fdfbacked Yes | 34c | 57.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…3cbebacked No | 65c | 57.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e6…f019backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde70…615fbacked Yes | 34c | 55.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d23…df4cbacked Yes | 34c | 52.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +159%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 67c | 49.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 79c | 49.06$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…eaafbacked Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States leading at halftime?this page
- Paraguay leading at halftime?No won
- United States vs. Paraguay: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.