Premier League · resolved market
Sunderland AFC vs. Bournemouth: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x203a603d1a725432936d77797adf64c15bd4a755572bed6e8a3e4ef0e22d5d4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,724
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,514
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,724 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 56c | 5,482$3,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,431.18 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 44c | 3,043$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.12 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 45c | 1,693$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.64 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 1,381$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.08 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 54c | 995.77$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.97 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 44c | 444$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.36 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…fd45backed No | 45c | 300.98$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.44 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed No | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf845…f3a8backed Yes | 55c | 181.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.65 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Yes | 54c | 149.97$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.99 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 45c | 99.12$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.43 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8460…0c1fbacked No | 46c | 86.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 45c | 80.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 55c | 77.09$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.69 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked Yes | 55c | 61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…2d71backed Yes | 73c | 47.05$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x328c…c461backed Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…a408backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Yes | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c9…b445backed No | 46c | 31.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed Yes | 55c | 29.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6b…1c91backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1e…327abacked Yes | 55c | 18.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sunderland AFC vs. Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Bournemouth (-1.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Bournemouth: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Bournemouth: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Bournemouth: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.