Premier League · resolved market
Sunderland AFC vs. Bournemouth: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd57b2fa6636e716d78aa110f922e770cced1edcfebe865426d0acd8b17980c29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 48c | 10,201$4,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,306.49 | 110 | 29.1%32 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 48c | 7,527$3,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,913.98 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 51c | 6,819$3,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,479.24 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 5,655$2,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,937.76 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 52c | 4,784$2,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,487.77 | 189 | 58.7%111 W · 78 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf82e…5089backed Under | 52c | 2,346$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Over | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 51c | 1,540$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.16 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ef…cecebacked Over | 49c | 1,508$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.16 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 52c | 926.57$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.82 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 49c | 607$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.57 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 52c | 579.99$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.59 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Over | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Over | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 51c | 505.11$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.61 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 51c | 444$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.44 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 52c | 399.99$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 51c | 380.12$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.86 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4948…08bdbacked Over | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ef…cb71backed Over | 48c | 209.67$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.03 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb86e…7395backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 48c | 150.67$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.35 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Under | 53c | 135.64$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.89 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x655d…b758backed Under | 53c | 103.75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…a8e1backed Over | 49c | 101.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.64 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…fd45backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Under | 54c | 73.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 51c | 60.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 51c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 350 | 56.9%199 W · 151 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 51c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 50c | 52.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x499e…c968backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Under | 53c | 43.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82e3…2151backed Over | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1e…327abacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…7412backed Over | 49c | 34.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 51c | 30.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf4…3ad1backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Under | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 313 | 59.4%186 W · 127 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…6121backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 51c | 26.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 331 | 56.8%188 W · 143 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 49c | 26.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 22.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca7…1cb5backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sunderland AFC vs. Bournemouth: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Bournemouth (-1.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Bournemouth: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Bournemouth: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Bournemouth: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.