Fifa International · resolved market
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1dbff853a52976ffe591b32f3384fa4df116d8452e7335db76d14bed048d1f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,750
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,750 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 47c | 8,094$3,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,798.85 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 60c | 7,284$4,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,884.75 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Yes | 47c | 6,374$2,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,990 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 54c | 4,162$2,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.55 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 46c | 4,132$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.92 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…8623backed Yes | 0c | 3,900$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 46c | 3,784$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.65 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 2,569$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.74 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 53c | 2,222$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.34 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c3…1d43backed Yes | 24c | 2,069$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 46c | 2,022$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.14 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x101d…cad2backed Yes | 6c | 1,920$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.74 | 112 | 24.1%27 W · 85 L | -10.3wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…5dcebacked No | 54c | 1,777$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.3 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Yes | 46c | 1,586$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.55 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 42c | 1,221$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.65 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 53c | 1,028$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.78 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes | 45c | 924.97$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.24 | 250 | 31.6%79 W · 171 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 53c | 662.11$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.28 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 656.08$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.42 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 54c | 651.9$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.92 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 54c | 649.62$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.83 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cc…884bbacked Yes | 28c | 410.71$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed No | 55c | 377.65$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.94 | 110 | 65.5%72 W · 38 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 72c | 374.77$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.19 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 63c | 338.59$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.83 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Yes | 46c | 304.35$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 140 | 35.7%50 W · 90 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 47c | 291.49$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 452 | 48.9%221 W · 231 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 13c | 283.38$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 75c | 273.79$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3661…522abacked Yes | 48c | 245.31$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…87c9backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 185 | 50.3%93 W · 92 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 74c | 216.83$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.97 | 199 | 39.7%79 W · 120 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42d9…00c4backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 47c | 197.58$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.57 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x665b…fff6backed Yes | 46c | 183.2$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 54c | 171.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.74 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 56c | 167$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.78 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed No | 54c | 162.96$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.96 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a07…1d4dbacked No | 61c | 147$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.34 | 132 | 31.8%42 W · 90 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…a0adbacked Yes | 32c | 140.1$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.11 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked No | 58c | 138$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 54c | 131.96$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Yes | 50c | 130.43$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.22 | 234 | 40.2%94 W · 140 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e13…c506backed Yes | 46c | 127.66$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 30c | 122.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 55c | 119.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…bfd3backed Yes | 46c | 119.57$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4740…fa66backed Yes | 27c | 111.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 203 | 25.6%52 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed No | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ff…18acbacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 356 | 14.3%51 W · 305 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0b…0302backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…9627backed Yes | 46c | 106.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 23c | 106.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa135…68b8backed Yes | 46c | 103.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 322 | 45.3%146 W · 176 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…e3e2backed Yes | 46c | 102$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 55c | 101.43$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.7 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…8eb3backed No | 55c | 101$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed No | 55c | 100.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 420 | 48.8%205 W · 215 L | +18.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4490…e3babacked No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…0650backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…3a98backed Yes | 46c | 88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 164 | 25.6%42 W · 122 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…93f4backed Yes | 46c | 85.54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Yes | 27c | 79.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 197 | 34.5%68 W · 129 L | -12.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x548a…fff7backed No | 56c | 78.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Yes | 23c | 78.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc66…42f7backed Yes | 45c | 76.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Yes | 46c | 76.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 282 | 40.8%115 W · 167 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 38c | 73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6108…32efbacked Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…0e93backed Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x111c…918dbacked Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x020d…4dc3backed No | 56c | 64.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…0fd1backed Yes | 46c | 63.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 45c | 60.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e9…79ddbacked Yes | 35c | 56.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…f35abacked Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…2d71backed Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93d8…c245backed Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 47c | 52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd81…3874backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 121 | 27.3%33 W · 88 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed No | 54c | 49.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Yes | 26c | 49.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda31…6e6ebacked Yes | 29c | 48.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…2e7dbacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…29bfbacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x332d…193fbacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b0…5d0fbacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec99…d13fbacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c33dbacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb069…9568backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed8…3affbacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Yes | 44c | 32.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Draw at halftime?this page
- Bosnia-Herzegovina leading at halftime?Yes won
- Canada leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.