Fifa International · resolved market
Bosnia-Herzegovina leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb505940271bdffcc12f3930f071d6c399762a13a20e366d242a988f94a50d985
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,501
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,697
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,501 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6149…b48cbacked Yes | 19c | 10,778$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,777.93 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 71c | 8,472$5,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,491.47 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 18c | 5,802$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,776.13 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 79c | 4,938$3,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,922.07 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.97 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 1,229$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.72 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 17c | 1,178$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.64 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed Yes | 76c | 1,152$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.96 | 110 | 65.5%72 W · 38 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Yes | 18c | 1,105$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.37 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 18c | 927$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.14 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f81…fdffbacked Yes | 17c | 812.13$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.07 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 75c | 670.74$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.75 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 16c | 578.09$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.59 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 66c | 552.06$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.7 | 217 | 59%128 W · 89 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 18c | 529.67$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.33 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 34c | 520.06$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.54 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 17c | 401.4$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.16 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…a268backed Yes | 68c | 349.84$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 33c | 327.72$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.57 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 25c | 274.15$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.41 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b28…b87dbacked Yes | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.22 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff04…d971backed Yes | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.22 | 94 | 18.1%17 W · 77 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 28c | 208.03$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.34 | 199 | 39.7%79 W · 120 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…1511backed Yes | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 9c | 160.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed No | 10c | 150$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 189 | 26.5%50 W · 139 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 70c | 136.51$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 32c | 120.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b38…317cbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c6…fde6backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 76c | 105.88$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 561 | 51%286 W · 275 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked No | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 249 | 35.3%88 W · 161 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb144…1e41backed Yes | 18c | 84.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +183.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x101d…cad2backed Yes | 14c | 77.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.65 | 112 | 24.1%27 W · 85 L | -10.3wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda5b…55e5backed No | 18c | 75.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49a5…b36cbacked Yes | 18c | 66.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Yes | 41c | 50.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 197 | 34.5%68 W · 129 L | -12.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 33c | 32.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a3…26acbacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed No | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x928d…c482backed Yes | 59c | 21.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf46…bca7backed Yes | 66c | 16.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…1173backed Yes | 76c | 16.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed69…8020backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bosnia-Herzegovina leading at halftime?this page
- Canada leading at halftime?No won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.