Fifa International · resolved market
Türkiye leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22ab4d5df5ea992441b99f7081449c0810931a938e2d0af9f488f5f30be7ebe5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $206,092
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $204,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,092 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x81da…a109backed No | 61c | 84,377$51,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,121.27 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +7.9wins | +0.40per pick | 45cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Yes | 39c | 30,000$11,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,700 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdef6…f63abacked Yes | 43c | 23,506$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 11,000$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,319.6 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 41c | 10,057$4,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,142.99 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 66c | 9,913$6,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,397.3 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 41c | 9,200$3,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,732.57 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 59c | 8,318$4,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,410.3 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 60c | 7,959$4,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,218.53 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 36c | 7,508$2,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,689.47 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 38c | 6,105$2,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,308.69 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.99 | 224 | 51.3%115 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 62c | 5,420$3,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.33 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Yes | 40c | 5,303$2,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,116.27 | 249 | 50.2%125 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a47…0c54backed Yes | 41c | 4,155$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.09 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 42c | 3,762$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 58c | 3,448$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.9 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.99 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Yes | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.98 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 57c | 2,870$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.1 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 42c | 2,793$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 60c | 2,318$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.25 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 58c | 1,811$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.56 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 60c | 1,600$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 39c | 1,566$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.86 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Yes | 39c | 1,553$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.02 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 39c | 1,472$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.93 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 60c | 1,413$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.44 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 37c | 1,382$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.3 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 59c | 1,300$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.29 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 35c | 1,287$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.09 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed No | 61c | 1,193$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.32 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 58c | 1,106$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.74 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 59c | 1,040$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.4 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 59c | 999.97$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.99 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Yes | 32c | 943.13$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.8 | 224 | 36.6%82 W · 142 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Yes | 40c | 875$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 167 | 47.3%79 W · 88 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 36c | 867.47$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.14 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed Yes | 41c | 819.51$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 110 | 65.5%72 W · 38 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…35cabacked No | 60c | 799.99$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf285…ab24backed Yes | 39c | 784.8$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.07 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Yes | 40c | 775.62$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.37 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 40c | 775$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…4a74backed Yes | 15c | 738.1$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 173 | 22.5%39 W · 134 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 59c | 695.57$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.18 | 408 | 48.8%199 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b3…982ebacked Yes | 16c | 676.24$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.68 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f48…a145backed Yes | 41c | 545.45$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.63 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…50f5backed Yes | 41c | 534.15$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2739…fd7cbacked Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71df…9aa0backed No | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e9…d01abacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -5.0wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe55e…9f8ebacked Yes | 42c | 490.71$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8053…2a8ebacked Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Yes | 39c | 424$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.36 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Yes | 41c | 400$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.33 | 524 | 55%288 W · 236 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Yes | 41c | 393.72$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 180 | 40%72 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75a8…d6f1backed Yes | 40c | 330$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9f…8e7dbacked Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb45…0cadbacked No | 60c | 277.69$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.09 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes | 21c | 261.29$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 161 | 31.7%51 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…87c9backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 185 | 50.3%93 W · 92 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 60c | 220$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes | 42c | 214.29$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 76c | 203.34$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac5…4f92backed No | 60c | 202.47$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.98 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4490…e3babacked No | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.33 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf599…f8aabacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b6…0cbbbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa334…55fabacked Yes | 40c | 175$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed No | 60c | 166.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 59c | 157$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.37 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6110…5d2ebacked Yes | 40c | 133.48$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.39 | 183 | 40.4%74 W · 109 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed No | 65c | 132.82$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.86 | 782 | 34.3%268 W · 514 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 29c | 131.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe3…dc29backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb76…66fabacked Yes | 41c | 123.41$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 39c | 120$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 238 | 38.7%92 W · 146 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…2d71backed Yes | 38c | 120$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed No | 60c | 112.1$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.84 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…8656backed Yes | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5522…7695backed No | 59c | 111$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.27 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Yes | 39c | 109.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 429 | 52%223 W · 206 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 40c | 106.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 344 | 55.5%191 W · 153 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes | 41c | 104.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 250 | 31.6%79 W · 171 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd67…f0e1backed Yes | 38c | 103.66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a08…5107backed No | 61c | 103.46$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.46 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8a…20d6backed No | 61c | 103$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Yes | 39c | 102.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed No | 59c | 101$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 420 | 48.8%205 W · 215 L | +18.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed No | 60c | 101$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…7048backed No | 61c | 100.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa40…9e37backed Yes | 41c | 100.17$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 222 | 47.7%106 W · 116 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed No | 60c | 100.03$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5e…502ebacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa140…5531backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 127 | 62.2%79 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 171 | 62%106 W · 65 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Türkiye leading at halftime?this page
- Australia leading at halftime?Yes won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.