Fifa International · resolved market
Australia vs. Türkiye: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc8846dffb2ffe1db91c8861358b0d38a23c7d56a75900f7f9cf146e7142eb1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 4,759$2,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,252.22 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 44c | 4,027$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767.4 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed No | 58c | 2,579$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.53 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 53c | 2,489$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.91 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 49c | 1,384$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.03 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…2746backed Yes | 1c | 1,042$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 197 | 39.6%78 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 56c | 1,004$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.84 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 27c | 994.98$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.75 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 44c | 992.82$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.51 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 43c | 881$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.83 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed Yes | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Yes | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 205 | 47.3%97 W · 108 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 44c | 620.52$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.99 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 57c | 619.23$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.36 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed Yes | 54c | 426.48$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 39c | 419.18$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.3 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac5…4f92backed No | 57c | 405.71$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 32c | 374.36$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.31 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ab…e8debacked Yes | 3c | 350$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 49c | 312.34$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.43 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Yes | 44c | 235$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.8 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…4a74backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 173 | 22.5%39 W · 134 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 32c | 188.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…9a98backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed No | 41c | 163$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.42 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed No | 54c | 162.96$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.96 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 56c | 154.58$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.51 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes | 28c | 140.49$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…4d0abacked Yes | 23c | 130.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 283 | 26.1%74 W · 209 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed No | 47c | 119.22$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.41 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…f41abacked Yes | 44c | 116.9$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.44 | 257 | 48.6%125 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 52c | 114.86$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.45 | 199 | 39.7%79 W · 120 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…37dbbacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32d…1d8abacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0817…b071backed Yes | 19c | 107.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 56c | 107.54$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed No | 57c | 102.65$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 420 | 48.8%205 W · 215 L | +18.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd81…3874backed Yes | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 121 | 27.3%33 W · 88 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228d…a448backed Yes | 20c | 101.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf915…8720backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d6…90aabacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 170 | 38.2%65 W · 105 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x055c…6a54backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…3a98backed Yes | 44c | 79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 164 | 25.6%42 W · 122 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes | 42c | 73.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dda…eab0backed Yes | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc037…c387backed Yes | 43c | 69.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 16c | 65.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 75c | 63.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1606…9a7cbacked Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…0fd1backed Yes | 44c | 61.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa066…16aebacked Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 56c | 49.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed Yes | 43c | 47.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 782 | 34.3%268 W · 514 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f0…186cbacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34c1…8454backed No | 42c | 44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…282fbacked Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2150…fa7bbacked Yes | 44c | 32.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 65c | 30.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 48c | 29.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc59e…b8d8backed Yes | 44c | 29.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 57c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…be27backed No | 49c | 25.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 60c | 24.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 56c | 19.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 481 | 54.9%264 W · 217 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 78c | 15.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Draw at halftime?this page
- Australia leading at halftime?Yes won
- Türkiye leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.