TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Lakers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lakersof Pelicans, Lakers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$300,646
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$340,909

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $300,646 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 381 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ff0…46e3backed Pelicans16c37,269$6,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,080.3847656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Pelicans24c19,998$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.561,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa33…8dbcbacked Pelicans1c15,807$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6929450.3%148 W · 146 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcad…0dacbacked Lakers77c15,567$12,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,524.257754.5%42 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Lakers77c13,944$10,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,276.341,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b1…6f55backed Pelicans26c11,891$3,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,091.7620238.6%78 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Pelicans20c10,473$2,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,094.3633931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed Pelicans28c8,588$2,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,404.265151%26 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans14c8,146$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.073,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Lakers80c7,500$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50029858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Pelicans25c7,400$1,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,81946131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Lakers74c6,877$5,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800.9549849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans26c6,000$1,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,569.981,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Pelicans19c5,735$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.1434532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ce8…3bd3backed Lakers76c5,349$4,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283.753250%16 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pelicans24c4,047$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.451,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Lakers75c3,888$2,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.0376249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed Pelicans24c3,740$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.1613929.5%41 W · 98 L+0.5wins0.00per pick29cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b0…5be0backed Lakers77c3,654$2,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.61955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Pelicans22c3,136$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.3650245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Pelicans19c3,039$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.6470640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Pelicans0c3,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Pelicans25c2,854$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.8577745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Pelicans1c2,650$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5542434.4%146 W · 278 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7502…beafbacked Lakers76c2,625$1,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.11172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+31.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pelicans23c2,610$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.581,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed Pelicans22c2,380$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.589038.9%35 W · 55 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Lakers79c2,228$1,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.168642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x000f…fa77backed Lakers75c2,104$1,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.952669.2%18 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2981…d5bebacked Lakers78c2,102$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.462475%18 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+28.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Pelicans8c2,010$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.068783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Lakers77c2,000$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46096447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Pelicans1c1,961$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.927502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1187…cb53backed Pelicans22c1,913$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.869836.7%36 W · 62 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Lakers80c1,909$1,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.7617943.6%78 W · 101 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x43ae…5141backed Lakers78c1,904$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.931471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Lakers75c1,700$1,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41713133.6%44 W · 87 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Pelicans5c1,571$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6237011.4%42 W · 328 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73cb…b0d0backed Pelicans23c1,523$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.327647.4%36 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Pelicans27c1,500$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40536843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e2b…525abacked Pelicans14c1,419$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.34528.9%13 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-34.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Pelicans5c1,400$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.981,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51dd…2f92backed Lakers76c1,314$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.4719944.7%89 W · 110 L-15.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x665a…174ebacked Pelicans24c1,243$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.43933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-51.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Pelicans22c1,094$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.5447229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Lakers76c1,091$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.7325865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pelicans18c1,043$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.555,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Pelicans23c1,015$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.6673647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Lakers76c1,002$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.4357760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79b2…4874backed Pelicans14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1403644.4%16 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd131…ba36backed Lakers75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.41per pick58cpaid-77.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x224b…d105backed Lakers75c882.89$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.397169%49 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a9e…f27abacked Lakers75c800$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Pelicans14c800$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.547535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6c40…583bbacked Pelicans25c798$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.51050%5 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Pelicans25c794.6$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75b4…5aabbacked Lakers76c787.76$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.7617363.6%110 W · 63 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1990…e954backed Pelicans3c666.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203119.4%6 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-36.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x348f…e570backed Lakers78c658.25$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.151275%9 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Lakers76c657.89$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.8927163.5%172 W · 99 L+0.9wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ec…f502backed Lakers74c631.14$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.692433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-31.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Lakers75c610$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.520153.7%108 W · 93 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcff3…59dabacked Lakers77c600$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Lakers73c600$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1621,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1872…ae0fbacked Lakers76c592$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.086758.2%39 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed Lakers76c578.95$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.9584957.6%489 W · 360 L-52.1wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Lakers75c578.91$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.941,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Lakers76c560.25$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.7673051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33fe…0cccbacked Pelicans27c519.44$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.049827.6%27 W · 71 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Pelicans11c499.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Lakers73c498.44$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.5810058%58 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Lakers78c489.88$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.8893036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40b3…6159backed Lakers77c459.95$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.792584%21 W · 4 L+5.1wins+0.20per pick64cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Pelicans24c457.13$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.8561345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4169…eab3backed Pelicans25c452.8$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.23655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Pelicans15c443.56$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5736751.8%190 W · 177 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6ab…ecf7backed Pelicans25c440$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Pelicans25c414.9$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10523539.1%92 W · 143 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x341e…6efbbacked Lakers75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7685…482cbacked Lakers79c398.1$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.622950.7%116 W · 113 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Pelicans13c397.15$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6338027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ee4…80f2backed Lakers76c394.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.743161.3%19 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bce…c476backed Lakers76c394.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.7410152.5%53 W · 48 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Lakers75c382.99$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.2788053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x18f6…b00bbacked Lakers76c365.69$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.312752.8%67 W · 60 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Pelicans24c357.08$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.736643.2%158 W · 208 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Lakers75c355.1$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.7728063.9%179 W · 101 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pelicans13c353.59$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.531,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x596a…1219backed Lakers75c350$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.523658.1%137 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Pelicans14c333.25$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4772341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5dd9…2af2backed Pelicans23c326.09$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754936.7%18 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c56…5a66backed Pelicans23c326.09$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7511040.9%45 W · 65 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Pelicans25c310.13$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5336057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcaf7…6165backed Lakers78c310$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.23171%22 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7096…e019backed Pelicans7c300$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030061.7%185 W · 115 L+23.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Pelicans23c300$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6930641.8%128 W · 178 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5444…26b1backed Lakers76c299.98$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Lakers77c299.97$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.991,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Lakers75c291$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7538464.3%247 W · 137 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Pelicans22c273$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0687647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.