Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Bayern München win on 2025-08-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97e0140353a3441e025ded8a6b70a1072e89b8d9a1f8cc07a24e21e7d01f56fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $497,305
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $535,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $497,305 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0764…e01fbacked No | 26c | 402,330$103,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,597.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 74c | 110,000$81,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,600 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 74c | 100,937$75,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,904.11 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 75c | 69,443$51,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,645.97 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 75c | 50,722$37,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,901.5 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 74c | 20,000$14,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed Yes | 74c | 17,948$13,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,666.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 74c | 15,200$11,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,952 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 25c | 8,166$2,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,076.5 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7502…beafbacked Yes | 75c | 6,059$4,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.67 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Yes | 78c | 5,387$4,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…dab5backed Yes | 80c | 5,071$4,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.32 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 25c | 4,896$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 21c | 4,059$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.92 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 78c | 3,843$2,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.68 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 77c | 3,570$2,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.22 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 79c | 3,343$2,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.25 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 21c | 2,536$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.26 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 24c | 2,269$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.8 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 23c | 2,049$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.3 | 71 | 11.3%8 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a7…818bbacked Yes | 80c | 1,956$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 75c | 1,450$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.5 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 21c | 1,422$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.69 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Yes | 76c | 1,405$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 75c | 1,354$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.44 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 75c | 1,324$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked No | 24c | 1,320$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes | 76c | 1,100$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…d0c5backed Yes | 74c | 1,057$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 75c | 1,030$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.56 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed No | 20c | 999.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 78c | 962.86$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.86 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 78c | 670$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.1 | 91 | 73.6%67 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…c57abacked Yes | 79c | 632.05$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 23c | 599.97$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.99 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 25c | 595$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.75 | 150 | 24%36 W · 114 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Yes | 76c | 560$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…8c6bbacked Yes | 71c | 559.62$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.62 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 14c | 538.75$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.69 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 79c | 508.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.24 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…93c2backed No | 23c | 499.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…c9efbacked Yes | 78c | 454.27$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41b…4fdfbacked Yes | 76c | 431.85$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed No | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Yes | 78c | 355.72$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.71 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9c…e860backed Yes | 76c | 317.48$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5be…c98dbacked Yes | 77c | 311.69$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 24c | 296.44$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.14 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 20c | 293.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 79c | 258$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked No | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…6a00backed Yes | 78c | 240.63$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.74 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 76c | 227.93$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.7 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…5a9ebacked Yes | 76c | 225.96$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 75c | 225.75$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.44 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 77c | 220.78$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 23c | 219.93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked No | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 76c | 173.68$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.68 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…e752backed Yes | 80c | 163.56$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed No | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked No | 25c | 160.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -44%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12a…3547backed Yes | 77c | 142.22$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 78c | 140.38$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…b407backed Yes | 74c | 137$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.37 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7e…3748backed Yes | 76c | 134.47$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac8c…81cdbacked Yes | 78c | 133.33$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +115.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68f9…d046backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…147cbacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed Yes | 74c | 115$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab1c…f1fbbacked Yes | 77c | 109.85$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…751ebacked Yes | 76c | 108.8$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked No | 20c | 108$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 21c | 106$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…425ebacked Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 75cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 23c | 99.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 78c | 99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 20c | 99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f63…6693backed Yes | 78c | 98.7$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d56…71dabacked Yes | 76c | 98.68$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…70fdbacked Yes | 76c | 92.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…5e7abacked Yes | 76c | 86.7$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5c…e309backed Yes | 76c | 80.55$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes | 75c | 80.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf815…4f3ebacked Yes | 76c | 79.6$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe97a…29c7backed Yes | 76c | 79.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 80c | 67.8$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 22c | 67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 243 | 22.2%54 W · 189 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 23c | 64.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…438abacked Yes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…d83bbacked Yes | 77c | 62.91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…43a5backed Yes | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Yes | 74c | 53.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayern München win on 2025-08-30?this page
- Will FC Augsburg vs. Bayern München end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Augsburg win on 2025-08-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.