TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Inter win on 2025-08-31?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,055,191
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,065,283

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,055,191 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0764…e01fbacked No26c968,513$247,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721,032.511030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid+72.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Yes75c337,315$252,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252,079.855955.9%33 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61bf…647ebacked Yes74c183,368$135,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135,780.221154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Yes74c153,850$113,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113,8491050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes74c100,000$74,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74,4001145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-34.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes75c97,012$72,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,670.758558.8%50 W · 35 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes75c36,967$27,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,725.252,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Yes75c20,000$14,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,9005240.4%21 W · 31 L-8.6wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes75c20,000$14,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,93016045%72 W · 88 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No25c9,695$2,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,259.286940.6%28 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Yes64c6,302$4,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,058.173943.6%17 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7502…beafbacked Yes75c5,333$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.69250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes75c5,003$3,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,750.939149.5%45 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+110.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe782…e7d9backed Yes76c4,205$3,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,179.44850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes75c4,023$3,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,013.4233357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Yes77c3,897$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick60cpaid-58.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes75c3,318$2,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,489.35635.7%20 W · 36 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes75c3,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2509952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes76c2,975$2,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,251.9520033%66 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed No37c2,356$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,483.781637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8a7…818bbacked Yes75c2,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8406…0176backed Yes75c2,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No25c1,600$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2007945.6%36 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Yes70c1,453$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,017.016243.5%27 W · 35 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes30c1,429$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.921,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Yes39c1,405$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.388334.9%29 W · 54 L-0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd970…c9efbacked Yes76c1,264$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.86366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e67…91b0backed Yes36c1,200$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Yes75c1,184$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888825%2 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-53.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x67a7…86cebacked Yes32c1,120$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.942245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes8c1,097$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9720143.8%88 W · 113 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes74c1,073$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.522152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes75c1,045$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.7544753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Yes76c1,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed Yes35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501650%8 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Yes74c970$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.88463.1%53 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Yes75c862.03$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.524323.3%10 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes77c755.81$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.5343058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed No50c704.43$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.594037.5%15 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6845…f636backed Yes77c621.94$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5be…c98dbacked Yes77c610.09$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf69…b3ffbacked No64c552.75$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.99771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+64.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6278…57e6backed Yes37c543.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed No25c542.41$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.820827.9%58 W · 150 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009154.9%50 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+27.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b90…f4f2backed Yes75c533.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes75c517.72$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.295451.9%28 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3222…2823backed Yes53c506.27$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2662653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e86…93c2backed No23c500$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes67c447.76$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006642.4%28 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8239…ddd7backed Yes26c405.56$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10760%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes74c400$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29612657.1%72 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cb…c57abacked Yes75c398.43$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.626053.3%32 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes75c291$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.254776.6%36 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Yes75c266.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c06…db24backed Yes76c263.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003330.3%10 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b9c…e860backed Yes77c258.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a64…cd34backed Yes75c213.33$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes75c200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15014254.2%77 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363016.7%5 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x894c…246abacked Yes35c180.11$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.04450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d40…f95abacked Yes75c166$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.53151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Yes75c160.97$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.734969.4%34 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd48…b205backed Yes76c157.89$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-34%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aea…c5f2backed Yes77c152.64$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.53944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick66cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No52c150$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.428445.4%129 W · 155 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcde3…002dbacked Yes79c144.4$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.85366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Yes41c136$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.25955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004663%29 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001560%9 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68f9…d046backed Yes75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick67cpaid-68.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004953.1%26 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked Yes75c129.94$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.461957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes78c124.19$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.878457.1%48 W · 36 L+7.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked No62c122.65$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.034100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+79.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x71e9…b7c6backed Yes46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa40f…2fa3backed No63c115.58$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.582568%17 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes75c106$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.532843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84dc…9c02backed Yes75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7a0…2881backed Yes75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes75c93.33$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7026744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes67c92.45$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.942050%10 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf5c…e309backed Yes75c92.24$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1820%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0249…c622backed Yes66c91.52$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+53.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7902…43f8backed Yes75c84.67$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed9…bbd3backed Yes69c81.15$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305125.5%13 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97ab…6928backed Yes75c78.77$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed No80c76.59$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.696553.8%35 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d17…b1fdbacked Yes74c67.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d9…98f1backed Yes75c67.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.39728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.39per pick67cpaid-58.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7a29…c0b6backed Yes75c66.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes77c64.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504060%24 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1690…4bf8backed Yes51c62.92$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.11741.2%7 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick59cpaid-27.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x18be…c402backed Yes66c60.68$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4050%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf78e…0956backed Yes75c60$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-41.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a54…e581backed Yes75c60$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dfe…f8b9backed Yes76c52.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6145…e49cbacked Yes34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.