Serie A · resolved market
Will Udinese win on 2025-08-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaba2fa9b07ff64cb4ffdca7dd7092733ca50371745369723bebbfe6c0a3c87cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $646,642
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $626,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $646,642 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0764…e01fbacked Yes | 9c | 496,182$44,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451,588.49 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 7c | 10,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,300 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 31c | 6,888$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,726.17 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a25…099dbacked Yes | 61c | 5,162$3,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 4,262$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.07 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Yes | 35c | 3,999$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,607.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…f830backed No | 54c | 3,185$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.11 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 67c | 1,694$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.12 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 8c | 1,693$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.56 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 7c | 1,615$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.54 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 72c | 1,208$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 42c | 1,093$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.46 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 51c | 1,006$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.44 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 10c | 768.08$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.82 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 61c | 749.49$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.55 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 9c | 696.57$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.88 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Yes | 51c | 672.34$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.21 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 6c | 659.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.78 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Yes | 55c | 495.04$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.59 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…6a90backed No | 61c | 393.96$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.84 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 8c | 378.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.45 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70d2…f395backed No | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6891…949fbacked Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e17…2b55backed No | 56c | 298.18$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 75c | 270$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 117 | 72.6%85 W · 32 L | +28.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked No | 66c | 250$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 35c | 195$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.87 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…332bbacked Yes | 75c | 152$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…6275backed No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed No | 68c | 145.59$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x894c…246abacked Yes | 39c | 129.95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 9c | 121.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 86 | 20.9%18 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa985…2c5abacked Yes | 33c | 120.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…b3ffbacked Yes | 33c | 91.47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.86 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91a7…cac6backed No | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 47c | 85.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.98 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f5…ee20backed Yes | 51c | 80.74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Yes | 34c | 77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.78 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 67c | 68$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc4…a6a9backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe219…d8afbacked No | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9835…79c0backed Yes | 34c | 34.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52bf…baecbacked No | 52c | 30.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0682…fd43backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee9…d29abacked No | 57c | 24.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked No | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4613…5c8fbacked Yes | 64c | 16.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Udinese win on 2025-08-31?this page
- Will Inter vs. Udinese end in a draw?No won
- Will Inter win on 2025-08-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.