Serie A · resolved market
Will Inter vs. Udinese end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7da6073779c946f343f0d614ad8f43ed5701a3c5da6cb1cbea28423f90f985cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,462
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,925
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,462 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 16c | 5,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 22c | 911$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.32 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…fe6bbacked Yes | 30c | 840$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd975…0a3ebacked Yes | 29c | 778.53$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.35 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 70c | 678.55$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.85 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 80c | 665.85$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.32 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 11c | 475$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.46 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 61c | 408.3$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.23 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 216.23$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.78 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 74c | 166$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked No | 71c | 160$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.66 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 32c | 105$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 33c | 91.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked Yes | 38c | 90.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 26c | 82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked No | 67c | 78.79$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 16c | 63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 33c | 61.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed No | 70c | 58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 36c | 55.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 36c | 47.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 67c | 46.06$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked No | 74c | 43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 72c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Inter vs. Udinese end in a draw?this page
- Will Inter win on 2025-08-31?No won
- Will Udinese win on 2025-08-31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.