F1 · resolved market
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x433272590b47d5c59b88ce21989a274f2c22af6ca24fe4de5536ea23d5fa332c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,455
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 29c | 15,578$4,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,044.52 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 75c | 10,718$8,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,002.84 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 49c | 10,242$5,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,230.2 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed No | 60c | 8,661$5,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,190.2 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 37c | 6,777$2,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,271.42 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed No | 53c | 4,515$2,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,372.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 71c | 3,744$2,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,641.29 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Yes | 14c | 3,176$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,726.05 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 33c | 3,030$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.07 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd7…95f6backed Yes | 11c | 2,580$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,297.77 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…4623backed Yes | 47c | 2,455$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 9c | 2,012$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.57 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…caefbacked No | 69c | 1,939$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes | 60c | 1,902$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.88 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked No | 32c | 1,489$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.05 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Yes | 30c | 1,410$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.09 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked No | 31c | 1,391$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.62 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed Yes | 18c | 1,354$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.49 | 159 | 22%35 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 62c | 1,293$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.39 | 92 | 23.9%22 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed Yes | 39c | 1,249$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…be05backed Yes | 11c | 1,199$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.41 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Yes | 58c | 1,015$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.16 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bb…0ac5backed No | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 29c | 900$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.4 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba71…290bbacked Yes | 12c | 862.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +115.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa911…9f8abacked No | 21c | 850$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x413c…6111backed No | 34c | 850$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed Yes | 12c | 807.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.69 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 70c | 763.91$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.74 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 27c | 759.61$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.34 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 15c | 750$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.5 | 125 | 23.2%29 W · 96 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x610a…1395backed Yes | 31c | 648.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 62c | 562.57$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.57 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yes | 62c | 513.01$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.63 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bb…1329backed Yes | 13c | 510.72$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +658.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ac…7f5abacked Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +107.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaac4…021cbacked Yes | 12c | 499.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 14c | 499.98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.98 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 45c | 473.34$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.68 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8588…de5ebacked Yes | 13c | 449.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.38 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d62…f8eabacked Yes | 79c | 440$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7329…6768backed Yes | 12c | 433.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.33 | 49 | 8.2%4 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Yes | 24c | 433.32$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.28 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2c…c0a0backed No | 73c | 431.4$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.92 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67db…21adbacked Yes | 15c | 406$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +576.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…1744backed Yes | 12c | 400$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 52c | 356$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.66 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 12c | 350$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +123.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7a…e5d7backed No | 34c | 345$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…f59bbacked No | 21c | 345$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3075…9143backed Yes | 79c | 340$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0deb…057dbacked Yes | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcad…5078backed Yes | 33c | 302.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +205.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1098backed Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 12c | 275.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.18 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb03…59cabacked Yes | 50c | 255$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -60%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 19c | 250$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…a9d8backed Yes | 29c | 250$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4b…3c6dbacked No | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed Yes | 12c | 227.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +758.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed No | 72c | 206.35$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…92c6backed Yes | 13c | 200.23$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.2 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd673…1b22backed Yes | 30c | 200$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 57 | 17.5%10 W · 47 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 11c | 199.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.99 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 69c | 189.32$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.63 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe5…0309backed Yes | 14c | 184.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.29 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 53c | 181.39$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.89 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…6083backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…7bd9backed Yes | 28c | 178.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 33cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…5791backed Yes | 79c | 171.7$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37af…5d17backed Yes | 58c | 171.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 14c | 162.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.54 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74df…1237backed Yes | 12c | 158.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.41 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c2…3a00backed Yes | 25c | 141.77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd22c…c656backed Yes | 22c | 141.22$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.88 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 57c | 137.97$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.47 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83f2…85babacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4690…b813backed Yes | 79c | 130$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b9…c2b6backed Yes | 14c | 123.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +81%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e2…1470backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb0…43d1backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.38 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca5…3816backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.38 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…a7f9backed Yes | 12c | 115$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +188.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34b0…9017backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.14 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…d9c7backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…d31fbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca3…656cbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +203%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa447…da3ebacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e60…b440backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 124 | 19.4%24 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8870…6578backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22b4…49acbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 28c | 92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.24 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8760…fc93backed Yes | 15c | 86.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb238…9e14backed Yes | 32c | 84.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +209.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a2…6a88backed Yes | 70c | 83.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…85cabacked Yes | 50c | 83.41$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.48 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +32%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01be…7586backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed65…b1b2backed Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 26c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.52 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?this page
- Will Alex Albon win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Carlos Sainz win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Esteban Ocon win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russel win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Jack Doohan win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lance Stroll win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Liam Lawson win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oliver Bearman win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Yuki Tsunoda win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.