TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will George Russel win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,662
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,938

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,662 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes3c6,299$172 inLost-$172.358330.1%25 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4344…caefbacked Yes2c1,900$32 inLost-$32.3944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+39%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes7c1,500$103 inLost-$102.7412523.2%29 W · 96 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes2c1,498$30 inLost-$30.439223.9%22 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-48.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed Yes2c1,000$21 inLost-$2112246.7%57 W · 65 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9196…c311backed Yes8c919.52$69 inLost-$69.054827.1%13 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f65…8356backed Yes4c888$36 inLost-$35.52520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-73.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c7…053ebacked Yes5c799.96$37 inLost-$36.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe07…d839backed Yes5c735.95$39 inLost-$38.566835.3%24 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6485…be05backed Yes4c699.7$27 inLost-$27.296225.8%16 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes5c581.31$30 inLost-$30.253766.9%26 W · 350 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-67.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4eb0…43d1backed Yes6c504.86$30 inLost-$30812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick8cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe62d…a9dabacked Yes2c500$12 inLost-$11.590%0 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa8a…d01dbacked Yes6c487.81$28 inLost-$28.44425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-28.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Yes5c444.98$20 inLost-$20.02650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+37.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7329…6768backed Yes5c399.99$20 inLost-$20498.2%4 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+63.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74df…1237backed Yes6c335.43$20 inLost-$20812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick17cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes5c335.25$16 inLost-$15.67150%0 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0982…92c6backed Yes4c302.83$11 inLost-$11.054015%6 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-39.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed Yes5c300$14 inLost-$14.12951.7%15 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x904f…50c6backed Yes5c298.68$14 inLost-$13.7215922%35 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes5c270.41$13 inLost-$12.543633.3%12 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-32.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes4c268$12 inLost-$11.521540%6 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91dc…9841backed Yes6c181.25$10 inLost-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.