F1 · resolved market
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd545ece45c5ceb0a4b9c343ddb5aa8bf10ec46566687ea963935283a0cb828a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 6c | 7,312$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.63 | 92 | 23.9%22 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed No | 61c | 5,856$3,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,278.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 56c | 4,616$2,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.03 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…caefbacked Yes | 42c | 4,358$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 39c | 3,608$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.59 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 42c | 3,300$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.28 | 125 | 23.2%29 W · 96 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes | 44c | 2,602$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.92 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bb…0ac5backed No | 58c | 2,046$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.29 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 44c | 1,878$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.27 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked No | 59c | 1,218$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.23 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 40c | 1,011$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.17 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Yes | 38c | 900$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…be05backed Yes | 38c | 899.97$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.99 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked No | 66c | 899.22$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.64 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 16c | 896.64$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.76 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 45c | 860.69$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.76 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 54c | 825.88$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.9 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 57c | 699.99$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 55c | 658.67$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.31 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed Yes | 38c | 648.33$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.18 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf52b…ff3fbacked No | 76c | 635$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1f…d021backed Yes | 20c | 630$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc26…24d0backed No | 61c | 519$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf989…47ccbacked Yes | 39c | 507.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Yes | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 40c | 499.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e04…1dedbacked Yes | 43c | 477.24$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e8…68a7backed No | 80c | 410$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…a4b9backed Yes | 20c | 405$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b15…569abacked Yes | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked No | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7545…9132backed No | 80c | 395$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 41c | 366.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b13…2c26backed Yes | 44c | 365.91$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2646…d4c2backed Yes | 6c | 342.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 57c | 320.45$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.79 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25fd…a641backed Yes | 24c | 320$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6af…e12fbacked No | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 39c | 299.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…6437backed Yes | 24c | 295$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 63c | 270.34$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.73 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a8…5df3backed Yes | 43c | 255.81$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47b9…e8f6backed Yes | 44c | 254.89$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 54c | 253.23$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.49 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ced…b02bbacked Yes | 42c | 249.93$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37af…5d17backed Yes | 40c | 248.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x829e…7f0abacked Yes | 22c | 247$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb160…812bbacked No | 76c | 230$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7e…79d5backed Yes | 40c | 225$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 21c | 223.6$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.23 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x212a…e309backed Yes | 43c | 206.68$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 65c | 203.67$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.66 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe10b…5fe3backed Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…5dc0backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc14…e34cbacked Yes | 20c | 155$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a48…b9ecbacked Yes | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 37c | 146$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 38c | 135.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec7f…d375backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8588…de5ebacked Yes | 42c | 124.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd13…a813backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5896…74fcbacked No | 62c | 121$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 56c | 111$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.83 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 54c | 111$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 64c | 109.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ec…2b21backed Yes | 39c | 108.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf631…e20fbacked No | 60c | 108.33$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6987…c818backed Yes | 45c | 107.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…d9c7backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 159 | 22%35 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…92c6backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb62…cd43backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce95…6550backed No | 62c | 99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a82…18cdbacked Yes | 45c | 97.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f71…95babacked Yes | 41c | 81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89d9…a9bdbacked Yes | 42c | 80.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa246…a09cbacked No | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa43e…aef5backed No | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x615f…e162backed Yes | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…5385backed Yes | 41c | 74.68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 38c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…e1fabacked Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +96%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…3201backed Yes | 66c | 66.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x852e…95d9backed Yes | 21c | 63.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850c…3f88backed Yes | 47c | 62.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…836cbacked No | 62c | 62.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…959abacked No | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…4c0bbacked No | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc0…6c38backed No | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 63c | 59.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b00…1e45backed Yes | 40c | 59.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd975…0a3ebacked No | 59c | 59.7$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…0ac5backed Yes | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x054c…ba1fbacked Yes | 40c | 52.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 38c | 51.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfced…d5dcbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd673…1b22backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 57 | 17.5%10 W · 47 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0deb…057dbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?this page
- Will Alex Albon win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Carlos Sainz win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Esteban Ocon win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russel win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Jack Doohan win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lance Stroll win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Liam Lawson win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Oliver Bearman win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Yuki Tsunoda win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.