TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Yuki Tsunoda win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,908
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,679

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,908 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x024a…decbbacked Yes0c10,280$24 inLost-$23.841637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-44.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c5,122$37 inLost-$36.643766.9%26 W · 350 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-67.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab33…7d21backed Yes2c4,000$74 inLost-$74.08650%3 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+424.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x13c8…9bdcbacked Yes1c2,774$25 inLost-$24.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70d8…fa21backed Yes3c2,674$70 inLost-$7030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccce…2c7cbacked Yes3c1,616$42 inLost-$41.75633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-43.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb10…3f62backed Yes3c1,250$35 inLost-$3520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bcf…5681backed Yes2c1,022$15 inLost-$15.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x713f…22ccbacked Yes2c860.99$15 inLost-$14.72540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7329…6768backed Yes3c794.21$20 inLost-$20498.2%4 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+63.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8870…6578backed Yes3c571.3$17 inLost-$172913.8%4 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick14cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f48…6a49backed Yes4c303.78$12 inLost-$11.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.