F1 · resolved market
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x180951c94c41e76823ce77f33b3fc722aef3ec018b3fdb7c71ba90c0d8202947
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,432
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 5c | 9,025$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.86 | 92 | 23.9%22 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 24c | 6,100$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.54 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b52…8a4fbacked Yes | 3c | 4,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 8c | 1,890$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.09 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 21c | 1,600$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.81 | 125 | 23.2%29 W · 96 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2646…d4c2backed Yes | 3c | 1,267$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 23c | 1,063$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.64 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed Yes | 31c | 1,044$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.51 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 76c | 1,005$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.16 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes | 27c | 992.95$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.1 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 75c | 978.04$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.51 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 8c | 943.75$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…be05backed Yes | 31c | 899.91$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.97 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 30c | 867.24$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.17 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 28c | 706.85$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.93 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4b…3c6dbacked No | 75c | 692.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Yes | 21c | 599.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 76c | 580.62$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.35 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 68c | 514.64$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.54 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 5c | 509.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 6c | 442.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x713f…22ccbacked Yes | 24c | 430.83$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 23c | 416.96$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 25c | 401.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.47 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b15…569abacked Yes | 34c | 401$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.23 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b13…2c26backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c6…d8a5backed Yes | 13c | 390$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 7c | 337.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed Yes | 45c | 325.85$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.89 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d97…f7c2backed Yes | 13c | 325$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 14c | 322$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 26c | 300$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 72c | 283$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.24 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 46c | 248.7$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 30c | 240$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 12c | 229$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91dc…9841backed Yes | 22c | 202.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe10b…5fe3backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd503…4542backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked No | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x926a…0624backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd61…158bbacked Yes | 31c | 157.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccce…2c7cbacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd673…1b22backed Yes | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 57 | 17.5%10 W · 47 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 27c | 145.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -70%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…4c0bbacked Yes | 32c | 140$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x338f…dd63backed No | 69c | 139.98$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.19 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x016b…c148backed Yes | 11c | 135.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91f…b7fabacked Yes | 25c | 126.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…9c72backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…a7f9backed Yes | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +188.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3147…7667backed Yes | 31c | 111.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 32c | 111$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 79c | 110.55$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6802…3f97backed Yes | 29c | 107.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82c1…0217backed Yes | 32c | 103.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8b…9255backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +135%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa805…83dcbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed No | 66c | 99.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2909…c95cbacked Yes | 50c | 99.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed Yes | 15c | 98.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b91…ff59backed Yes | 25c | 91.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb895…ffe4backed Yes | 23c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7329…6768backed Yes | 24c | 87.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 49 | 8.2%4 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…3b32backed Yes | 23c | 86.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5103…9fdcbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4f…1682backed No | 71c | 83.19$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yes | 29c | 76.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2577…b72dbacked Yes | 24c | 75.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8588…de5ebacked No | 68c | 75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b0…9017backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x905c…e0d2backed No | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 35c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x852e…95d9backed Yes | 18c | 64.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83f2…85babacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…6307backed Yes | 30c | 56.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 68c | 55.63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 25c | 53.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22c…c656backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde16…9b3dbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc5…e315backed Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ac…c395backed Yes | 24c | 43.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…5d4ebacked Yes | 24c | 42.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa43e…aef5backed Yes | 29c | 42.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8760…fc93backed Yes | 32c | 40.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 76c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b67…d01fbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab06…8823backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74df…1237backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…d5aabacked No | 78c | 20.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 75cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa866…6c77backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?this page
- Will Alex Albon win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Carlos Sainz win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Esteban Ocon win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russel win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Jack Doohan win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lance Stroll win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Liam Lawson win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Oliver Bearman win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Yuki Tsunoda win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.