TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,842
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,873

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,842 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes1c8,143$73 inLost-$73.298330.1%25 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904f…50c6backed Yes8c1,378$105 inLost-$104.9315922%35 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd229…fcd6backed Yes6c1,084$65 inLost-$65.04210%0 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b0d…1744backed Yes5c918.41$49 inLost-$48.78427.4%23 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+91.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6485…be05backed Yes5c899.96$45 inLost-$456225.8%16 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c793.95$14 inLost-$13.773766.9%26 W · 350 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-67.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes1c740.13$11 inLost-$10.8412616.7%21 W · 105 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-52%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaca5…3816backed Yes3c715.37$19 inLost-$18.71216.7%2 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7329…6768backed Yes5c700$35 inLost-$35498.2%4 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+63.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4eb0…43d1backed Yes8c646.3$50 inLost-$50812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick8cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9196…c311backed Yes7c593.14$40 inLost-$404827.1%13 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9622…a58dbacked Yes5c500$27 inLost-$2730%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb2…e1fabacked Yes5c400$20 inLost-$202623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid+96%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes3c399.98$14 inLost-$13.82445.8%11 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x87d9…fcb6backed Yes5c371.14$19 inLost-$18.5630%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes5c350$18 inLost-$17.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+123.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes4c300$12 inLost-$123633.3%12 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-32.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf05…70dabacked Yes6c171.3$10 inLost-$103321.2%7 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-44.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f11…0085backed Yes9c151.21$13 inLost-$12.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.