Champions League · resolved market
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d38de6b85f524594a9b4c158d4dea02cdfe45097c1f45b1ba6bc0a48990c540
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $282,625
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $335,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $282,625 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 23c | 33,828$7,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,168.85 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Yes | 24c | 24,307$5,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,542.18 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked No | 77c | 20,789$15,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,913.27 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c70…232abacked Yes | 24c | 16,923$4,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,861.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda93…f09cbacked No | 78c | 16,065$12,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,530.68 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed No | 76c | 14,271$10,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,846.07 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1340…a94ebacked Yes | 54c | 11,377$6,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,267.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b09…0175backed Yes | 24c | 10,941$2,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,315.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 76c | 10,868$8,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,274.5 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked No | 77c | 10,000$7,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,699.98 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed No | 1c | 8,980$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.18 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed Yes | 31c | 8,389$2,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,821.64 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 76c | 6,813$5,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,195.22 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.99 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 23c | 4,931$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,788.58 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed No | 76c | 4,337$3,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,296.35 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +403.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf989…47ccbacked Yes | 27c | 4,063$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,974.3 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 23cpaid | +92%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 77c | 3,692$2,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,846.12 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 22c | 3,475$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,698.66 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 56c | 3,401$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.19 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 24c | 2,931$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,231.13 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Yes | 65c | 2,862$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 12c | 2,222$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.36 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed No | 80c | 2,146$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.84 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 75c | 2,030$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.9 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3836…2cc0backed Yes | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.98 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc001…bb2abacked Yes | 23c | 1,677$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5c…903dbacked Yes | 24c | 1,674$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…10a0backed Yes | 22c | 1,455$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.55 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Yes | 66c | 1,350$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.19 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked No | 78c | 1,284$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb8…af02backed No | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 64c | 1,250$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.33 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…dc41backed Yes | 24c | 1,100$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 28cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf87…69b2backed Yes | 24c | 1,058$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.05 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa822…64e6backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3a…aad9backed Yes | 21c | 927.28$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Yes | 32c | 896.77$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.66 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.57 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9939…c0efbacked Yes | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d67…1fa5backed Yes | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.33 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x120b…74bfbacked Yes | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed No | 77c | 757.45$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.23 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4117…88fbbacked Yes | 26c | 753.34$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +177.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbea…19f4backed Yes | 26c | 728.51$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +291.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…a491backed Yes | 27c | 716.23$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +277%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…207fbacked Yes | 17c | 651.85$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…0d6abacked Yes | 24c | 625$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 78c | 613.31$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.52 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d70…564bbacked No | 78c | 612.64$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 32c | 610$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.15 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked No | 77c | 599.67$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.93 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa293…2919backed Yes | 22c | 597.41$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.98 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec5…20d8backed No | 77c | 589$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 21c | 570.67$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.57 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 79c | 554.19$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.04 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74f7…9fd9backed Yes | 36c | 531.19$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63d5…cc5ebacked Yes | 24c | 506.79$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked No | 78c | 500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…f74ebacked No | 78c | 490.42$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.52 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 76c | 471.45$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.3 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x145b…7ca4backed Yes | 22c | 461.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.27 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9b…2f9ebacked Yes | 23c | 430.43$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.43 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8773…302fbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…25a8backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f14…b199backed Yes | 23c | 412.4$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +115.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d2…9f1abacked Yes | 46c | 410.09$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…43febacked No | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x828f…fa80backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc99d…5d6bbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17f2…7502backed Yes | 23c | 358.04$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9567…e505backed No | 78c | 349.99$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.49 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 41c | 345.21$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.96 | 132 | 32.6%43 W · 89 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +172.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7481…c476backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 77c | 333.74$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.98 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d2…8c35backed Yes | 24c | 316.67$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 20c | 316.29$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.03 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…32eebacked No | 77c | 300$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked Yes | 23c | 300$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 77c | 299.99$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.99 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73b9…ecc4backed Yes | 22c | 290$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c20…2256backed No | 77c | 272.73$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 72cpaid | -47%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x401b…3107backed Yes | 23c | 260.87$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x809e…0963backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 33cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 23c | 230.05$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.14 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad98…8733backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x583b…1a59backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4005…36d1backed Yes | 22c | 215.91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.91 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 24c | 205$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.8 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdb…d326backed Yes | 21c | 203.79$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cc…3f0fbacked Yes | 24c | 201.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.07 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x716c…65cabacked Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x318a…360bbacked Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe129…2214backed Yes | 19c | 199.16$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0102…e4d2backed No | 77c | 194.81$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…696bbacked Yes | 21c | 192.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.22 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.26per pick | 35cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…d1b7backed Yes | 11c | 180.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.01 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-16?this page
- Will Real Madrid vs. Arsenal end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.