NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Wild
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x818971a4ab1cbc03333e0b206197847b7b9db1d6a36fe8dcb5a602296ed49d4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildof Ducks, Wild
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,351
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Ducks | 43c | 12,515$5,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,412.53 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…128ebacked Wild | 67c | 4,501$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.32 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Ducks | 31c | 4,500$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Ducks | 33c | 3,631$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.44 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Wild | 67c | 3,134$2,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.23 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Wild | 66c | 2,510$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.6 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea7…b38abacked Wild | 66c | 2,503$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.94 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Wild | 16c | 2,500$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,095 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Wild | 62c | 2,403$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.86 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Wild | 70c | 2,373$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.62 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Wild | 70c | 2,298$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.28 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…f9f7backed Wild | 45c | 2,264$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.64 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Ducks | 30c | 1,870$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.14 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Ducks | 30c | 1,797$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.24 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Ducks | 30c | 1,779$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.8 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…ba27backed Ducks | 29c | 1,751$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.38 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Wild | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae1e…d204backed Wild | 70c | 1,335$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.5 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +40%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Ducks | 29c | 1,198$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.97 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Ducks | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Wild | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Wild | 70c | 811.99$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.6 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Wild | 71c | 760.7$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.6 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…0e96backed Wild | 70c | 740$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Wild | 15c | 707.85$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.67 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…106abacked Ducks | 30c | 699.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Wild | 70c | 673.88$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.16 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Wild | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Wild | 70c | 591.3$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.39 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Wild | 70c | 571.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.43 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Wild | 69c | 552.55$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.29 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Ducks | 29c | 542.63$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.89 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Wild | 70c | 500.03$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.01 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Wild | 66c | 453.06$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.04 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed0…77f7backed Wild | 71c | 450$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…52a8backed Wild | 27c | 365.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.96 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Ducks | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa068…9574backed Ducks | 31c | 327.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Wild | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Wild | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Ducks | 29c | 240$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 284 | 40.1%114 W · 170 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa48…3783backed Ducks | 30c | 237.06$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.88 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Wild | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8896…7d78backed Wild | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 70 | 71.4%50 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa756…48b3backed Wild | 66c | 204.55$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.55 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Wild | 59c | 201$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.77 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Wild | 52c | 195.07$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.63 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa16d…2fdbbacked Ducks | 31c | 192.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Wild | 49c | 189.36$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.98 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…c3fbbacked Ducks | 51c | 188$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Wild | 62c | 173.14$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.44 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Ducks | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Ducks | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1efd…5321backed Wild | 70c | 159.24$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.77 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Ducks | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 387 | 44.2%171 W · 216 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b95…8affbacked Wild | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Wild | 60c | 130.63$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.25 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…c14abacked Ducks | 30c | 127.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.12 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb256…79c8backed Wild | 71c | 124$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…a546backed Ducks | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd132…2cb5backed Ducks | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc739…c3fcbacked Ducks | 30c | 98.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6baa…7b57backed Ducks | 30c | 94.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2911…c612backed Ducks | 30c | 91.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d5…e0e0backed Wild | 70c | 84.86$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e80…db21backed Ducks | 31c | 84.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa14…8905backed Ducks | 31c | 83.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ea…a4b6backed Wild | 54c | 82.54$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0313…fcbdbacked Wild | 71c | 79.18$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd57…b0b1backed Wild | 71c | 76.23$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…f9c9backed Ducks | 30c | 75.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…6dabbacked Wild | 71c | 74.24$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…2f24backed Wild | 70c | 73.69$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd1…cfccbacked Ducks | 31c | 72.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dba…187cbacked Wild | 70c | 72.33$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f47…0b99backed Wild | 70c | 71.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb17b…1d31backed Ducks | 31c | 71.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c71…4148backed Wild | 70c | 71.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7f…5866backed Ducks | 30c | 70.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x982b…e3f3backed Wild | 71c | 70.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bac…f7b1backed Ducks | 31c | 70.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2913…8099backed Wild | 70c | 70.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Wild | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9448…be98backed Wild | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 154 | 70.1%108 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf909…3daabacked Ducks | 31c | 70.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a9…d876backed Ducks | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed Ducks | 36c | 69.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9389…024abacked Wild | 70c | 69.29$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd163…45a7backed Ducks | 30c | 68.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…8941backed Wild | 70c | 68.46$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52c4…bee5backed Ducks | 31c | 68.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…6b7dbacked Ducks | 31c | 68.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848a…53dabacked Ducks | 30c | 68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x535b…0129backed Ducks | 30c | 67.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcab4…6170backed Wild | 70c | 67.17$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7220…1b9ebacked Wild | 70c | 67.01$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Wild | 71c | 66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 208 | 61.5%128 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x553e…3142backed Wild | 71c | 65.86$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…19dcbacked Wild | 71c | 65.69$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…4356backed Ducks | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.