TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Knicks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$720,807
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$781,962

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $720,807 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 816 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6e82…752cbacked Knicks54c81,315$43,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,697.171,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6622…d7a9backed Cavaliers29c80,071$23,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,955.911471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.27per pick44cpaid+60.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2214…5968backed Cavaliers23c76,332$17,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,718.926549.2%32 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18d2…81e0backed Knicks53c20,407$10,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,810.522369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+25.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfc36…1fa0backed Cavaliers39c17,893$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,893.395950.8%30 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Knicks69c17,535$12,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,15312938%49 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Knicks78c17,392$13,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,647.7829957.2%171 W · 128 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf40…1bd2backed Knicks14c15,168$2,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,068.3212232%39 W · 83 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Knicks76c13,756$10,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,456.477745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Knicks50c13,444$6,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,721.828241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Cavaliers41c10,608$4,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,241.8637448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Cavaliers20c9,851$1,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,906.4123237.1%86 W · 146 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Cavaliers35c9,766$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,366.7966744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb928…5fd7backed Knicks60c9,608$5,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,764.87451.4%38 W · 36 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Knicks57c8,494$4,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,850.4770640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b6b…68eebacked Knicks71c8,231$5,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,838.351735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed Knicks73c5,577$4,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,070.958345.8%38 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Knicks68c5,304$3,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,611.591,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Knicks61c4,917$3,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,005.391,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8377…4198backed Cavaliers21c4,763$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,763.245940.7%24 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Knicks76c4,279$3,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,267.253,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Knicks58c4,143$2,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,387.4249849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Cavaliers31c4,001$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,746.3226431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb377…f621backed Knicks73c4,000$2,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9204040%16 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64b8…976cbacked Cavaliers16c3,796$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,185.541233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+36.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Knicks76c3,331$2,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,526.1637627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Knicks62c3,095$1,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,929.3846342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Cavaliers40c3,031$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,811.0534852.3%182 W · 166 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f79…1608backed Knicks68c3,000$2,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,032.47447.3%35 W · 39 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Cavaliers30c3,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,10040627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Knicks72c2,781$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00029643.2%128 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Knicks74c2,700$1,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,985.5345743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked Knicks76c2,672$2,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,020.6614034.3%48 W · 92 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e9e…7bd8backed Cavaliers50c2,564$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,281.943135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Knicks69c2,542$1,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,743.524151.9%125 W · 116 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae36…8fb5backed Knicks65c2,522$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,650.1910357.3%59 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Knicks59c2,500$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,474.9980146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76aa…ba27backed Cavaliers50c2,433$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.57475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda93…f09cbacked Knicks73c2,197$1,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,603.811330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-55.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Cavaliers28c2,093$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,507.7310246.1%47 W · 55 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0c…76fabacked Knicks68c2,089$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.6410451%53 W · 51 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f17…c521backed Knicks51c2,081$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.26837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Knicks53c2,044$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.221,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Knicks77c2,000$1,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5391,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Cavaliers41c1,985$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.1925865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Knicks61c1,960$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.8828341.7%118 W · 165 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Knicks59c1,806$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.7159653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcad…5078backed Cavaliers16c1,719$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,443.964052.5%21 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ccb…0a10backed Knicks48c1,666$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.216744.8%30 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe59…a131backed Knicks73c1,548$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.2615365.4%100 W · 53 L-0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed Cavaliers44c1,530$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.7917256.4%97 W · 75 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Knicks50c1,482$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.8119149.7%95 W · 96 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ba8…61b7backed Knicks75c1,339$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.363925.6%10 W · 29 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick17cpaid-9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda44…2b09backed Cavaliers56c1,332$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.4210244.1%45 W · 57 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+27.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Knicks67c1,322$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.7233348.9%163 W · 170 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed Knicks64c1,300$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8386254.8%34 W · 28 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xccf3…8f27backed Cavaliers26c1,270$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.940726%106 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6d2…cfb1backed Cavaliers27c1,233$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.182254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+41.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd447…f42cbacked Cavaliers42c1,148$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.081687.5%14 W · 2 L+5.3wins+0.33per pick54cpaid+62.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Knicks70c1,124$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.7219943.7%87 W · 112 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Knicks49c1,105$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.8820153.7%108 W · 93 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe47c…3afabacked Cavaliers46c1,093$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.6323342.9%100 W · 133 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Knicks71c1,034$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.9985347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Cavaliers16c1,030$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.3130443.1%131 W · 173 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Knicks1c1,010$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2524423.8%58 W · 186 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-56.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Knicks1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Cavaliers30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70032130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Cavaliers42c1,000$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.671,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Cavaliers30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70025536.9%94 W · 161 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Cavaliers28c931.3$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.052,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36db…9fd7backed Knicks60c912.38$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.455236.5%19 W · 33 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Cavaliers28c899.98$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.996631.8%21 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Knicks76c863.65$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.3819451.5%100 W · 94 L-17.8wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-17.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed Knicks39c860$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.9911753%62 W · 55 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x823d…8091backed Knicks51c840.33$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.575330.2%16 W · 37 L-7.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Cavaliers22c695.72$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.7210246.1%47 W · 55 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Knicks70c670$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.3639843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x967c…a16dbacked Knicks75c667$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.85650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Knicks57c651.15$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.5733746.3%156 W · 181 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Cavaliers38c642.34$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.7927348.7%133 W · 140 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Cavaliers32c600$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4081,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Cavaliers40c588.99$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.516563.6%105 W · 60 L+12.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Cavaliers35c525.93$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.6623554.5%128 W · 107 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Cavaliers23c521.99$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.611,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3095…b2a6backed Cavaliers31c519.62$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.964440.9%18 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae00…f7b0backed Cavaliers77c519.48$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.487864.1%50 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Knicks74c502.7$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.9721056.2%118 W · 92 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Knicks66c500.32$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.4888053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Knicks71c500$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35529747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ae…cb95backed Knicks51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25526049.2%128 W · 132 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Knicks57c481.87$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.5956154.5%306 W · 255 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Cavaliers71c440.07$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.248146.9%38 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9bc…73b7backed Cavaliers50c437.45$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.952445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Knicks7c435.84$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.988783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff7b…52a8backed Knicks77c427.92$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.56747.8%32 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe45d…f77ebacked Cavaliers24c420.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.8325336.8%93 W · 160 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Knicks56c411.72$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.8570951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Knicks71c409.36$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.5420756%116 W · 91 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Cavaliers51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19668642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Knicks59c388.46$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.1966153.3%352 W · 309 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.