NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d6d933c3405a209bc474c65ae0531e6d400f5292e94e15507501ad3d065848e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Pacers, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $404,455
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $421,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $404,455 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Pacers | 67c | 42,975$29,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,968.89 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…81e0backed Pacers | 44c | 25,000$10,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,101 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Pacers | 70c | 21,000$14,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,300 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Cavaliers | 32c | 19,050$6,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,186.64 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cavaliers | 22c | 13,686$2,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,953.65 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cavaliers | 56c | 10,903$6,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,116.1 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cavaliers | 57c | 9,570$5,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,489.77 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pacers | 67c | 8,138$5,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,687.11 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Pacers | 55c | 8,000$4,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,608 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Cavaliers | 73c | 5,765$4,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,215.54 | 172 | 56.4%97 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cavaliers | 35c | 5,357$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898.27 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pacers | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.99 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Cavaliers | 32c | 4,300$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Cavaliers | 59c | 4,225$2,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,510.75 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Cavaliers | 33c | 3,783$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.29 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Pacers | 51c | 3,673$1,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.3 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Pacers | 2c | 3,469$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,394.32 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Cavaliers | 32c | 3,200$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.3 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Pacers | 70c | 3,131$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.17 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Pacers | 17c | 3,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,490 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Cavaliers | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Cavaliers | 45c | 2,936$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.14 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Pacers | 17c | 2,912$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,428.07 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Cavaliers | 31c | 2,801$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.99 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Cavaliers | 14c | 2,693$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.3 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Pacers | 45c | 2,200$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Cavaliers | 5c | 1,999$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.95 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Cavaliers | 35c | 1,845$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.68 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Cavaliers | 30c | 1,800$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Cavaliers | 31c | 1,760$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.17 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Pacers | 58c | 1,736$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.7 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Cavaliers | 77c | 1,713$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.72 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Cavaliers | 33c | 1,621$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.94 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Pacers | 59c | 1,586$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.26 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Cavaliers | 11c | 1,512$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.22 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Cavaliers | 1c | 1,450$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Pacers | 68c | 1,320$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.26 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed Cavaliers | 5c | 1,307$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.42 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3bc…cab7backed Pacers | 3c | 1,250$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 40cpaid | +333.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…af6ebacked Pacers | 2c | 1,200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.59 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Pacers | 16c | 1,200$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.05 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Pacers | 22c | 1,116$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.49 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1af…d23bbacked Cavaliers | 72c | 1,095$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.3 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cavaliers | 31c | 1,072$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.44 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb616…2fd0backed Cavaliers | 1c | 1,045$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Cavaliers | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Pacers | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Cavaliers | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…21d8backed Cavaliers | 77c | 848.49$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Cavaliers | 30c | 831.43$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.43 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1a…bf3abacked Cavaliers | 70c | 827.33$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 810.26$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Cavaliers | 7c | 775.16$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd361…3885backed Cavaliers | 70c | 715.71$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb004…51b4backed Pacers | 38c | 700$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.85 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Pacers | 62c | 673.32$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.86 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Pacers | 34c | 666$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.56 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Pacers | 30c | 655.26$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.1 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Cavaliers | 31c | 650$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36db…9fd7backed Cavaliers | 31c | 649.98$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.99 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Cavaliers | 30c | 647.73$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.32 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Pacers | 42c | 635.45$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.91 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed Pacers | 22c | 615.82$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.94 | 407 | 26%106 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Pacers | 69c | 580$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.8 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b8…b745backed Cavaliers | 31c | 579.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.79 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Cavaliers | 25c | 500$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Cavaliers | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Cavaliers | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Cavaliers | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…df44backed Cavaliers | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Pacers | 40c | 499.94$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.94 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Cavaliers | 31c | 486.99$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.36 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…e5ffbacked Pacers | 71c | 486$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.94 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Cavaliers | 30c | 477.13$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.14 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Cavaliers | 27c | 461.79$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.68 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Pacers | 38c | 420.67$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.68 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Cavaliers | 35c | 416.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.95 | 333 | 48.9%163 W · 170 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…6578backed Cavaliers | 68c | 399.99$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.59 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x967c…a16dbacked Cavaliers | 36c | 390$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Cavaliers | 33c | 380.2$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.47 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Cavaliers | 27c | 370.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.07 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Cavaliers | 29c | 368.98$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Cavaliers | 32c | 348$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.36 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Pacers | 69c | 341.49$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.86 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…2391backed Cavaliers | 60c | 325.97$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked Cavaliers | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cavaliers | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Cavaliers | 47c | 300$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.5 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Pacers | 66c | 299.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Pacers | 68c | 299.98$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Cavaliers | 40c | 298.52$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.41 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Cavaliers | 33c | 263.33$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.9 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Cavaliers | 72c | 260$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Pacers | 52c | 259.37$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.7 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Pacers | 40c | 252.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.38 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…09eabacked Cavaliers | 33c | 242.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Pacers | 34c | 235$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 122 | 22.1%27 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Cavaliers | 33c | 233.05$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.91 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Cavaliers | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Cavaliers | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.