NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6ba3bf49b023f291f0a5592f1b767c3f06305c8a78ea2b20ac975bfdb4ce941
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Hornets, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $176,092
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $184,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,092 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Hornets | 14c | 12,322$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,732.14 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Hornets | 17c | 11,929$2,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007.71 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Hornets | 8c | 10,252$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.37 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb678…f74dbacked Hornets | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Hornets | 14c | 7,406$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.9 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Hornets | 15c | 6,197$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.53 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Hornets | 17c | 5,447$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.39 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Hornets | 0c | 5,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Hornets | 18c | 3,963$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.85 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Celtics | 80c | 3,820$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.8 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4759…ec88backed Hornets | 20c | 3,488$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.76 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Hornets | 9c | 3,064$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.79 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Hornets | 18c | 2,631$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.37 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Hornets | 29c | 2,146$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.75 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Celtics | 77c | 2,100$1,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.02 | 172 | 56.4%97 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Hornets | 21c | 2,017$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.1 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Hornets | 15c | 2,000$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.92 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Hornets | 13c | 1,781$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.47 | 333 | 48.9%163 W · 170 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Hornets | 20c | 1,640$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.75 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Hornets | 1c | 1,305$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Celtics | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Hornets | 12c | 1,200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Hornets | 16c | 1,192$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.85 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…16e1backed Hornets | 7c | 1,143$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Hornets | 17c | 1,111$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.87 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Hornets | 18c | 1,101$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.34 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Hornets | 1c | 1,010$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Hornets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Hornets | 6c | 1,000$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.65 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Hornets | 1c | 942.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Hornets | 6c | 941.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Celtics | 75c | 800.44$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.44 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Hornets | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Hornets | 2c | 651.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…e5ffbacked Hornets | 19c | 643.67$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Celtics | 73c | 544.44$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.32 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccf…b88ebacked Celtics | 74c | 542.58$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Hornets | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Hornets | 3c | 499.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 122 | 22.1%27 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hornets | 19c | 499.89$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.79 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99b4…f541backed Hornets | 35c | 470.82$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.41 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Hornets | 16c | 456.63$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.94 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Hornets | 17c | 444$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.48 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Hornets | 17c | 423.25$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.71 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Hornets | 16c | 401.44$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.23 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Hornets | 29c | 385$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.65 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Hornets | 14c | 369$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Hornets | 16c | 343.52$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.48 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb16c…b47bbacked Celtics | 72c | 330$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.37 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Hornets | 18c | 329.37$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.71 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked Hornets | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Hornets | 15c | 301.14$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Hornets | 19c | 301$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.06 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb322…2179backed Hornets | 22c | 294.93$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…2391backed Hornets | 34c | 293.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Hornets | 35c | 260.2$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.81 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Celtics | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Hornets | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c7…0694backed Hornets | 11c | 183.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Hornets | 22c | 160$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Hornets | 13c | 158.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2c…9b1cbacked Hornets | 8c | 154.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Hornets | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Hornets | 10c | 149.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Hornets | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe520…28b0backed Celtics | 77c | 130.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe634…7a95backed Hornets | 11c | 128.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9a…684bbacked Hornets | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92ed…57c1backed Hornets | 16c | 119.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd132…2cb5backed Hornets | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Celtics | 73c | 101.36$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.01 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…d9c7backed Celtics | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Hornets | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1039…28a6backed Hornets | 15c | 99.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433b…58debacked Hornets | 19c | 73.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b31…e8ebbacked Celtics | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21bd…ae93backed Celtics | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.