NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b048a4ac307178afdaf2b7a6cd19abf966b0203ec759aadd5044953057cb2db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Wizards, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,255
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,255 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Heat | 46c | 10,200$4,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,647 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Heat | 78c | 10,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Wizards | 22c | 8,259$1,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,407.59 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Wizards | 73c | 8,250$6,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.67 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Heat | 49c | 7,800$3,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,841.86 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Wizards | 68c | 7,000$4,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Heat | 0c | 5,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Heat | 33c | 3,855$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.55 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Heat | 64c | 3,244$2,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,078.17 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Wizards | 51c | 2,755$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.19 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Heat | 63c | 2,637$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.45 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Heat | 33c | 2,465$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.61 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Wizards | 46c | 2,400$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…b2a6backed Heat | 78c | 1,933$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Wizards | 52c | 1,911$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.32 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Wizards | 56c | 1,793$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.86 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Heat | 77c | 1,783$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.91 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Heat | 77c | 1,739$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.31 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Wizards | 21c | 1,694$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.06 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wizards | 24c | 1,492$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.02 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Heat | 54c | 1,473$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.15 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Heat | 29c | 1,450$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.61 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Heat | 77c | 1,376$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.52 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Wizards | 24c | 1,351$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.75 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Heat | 75c | 1,325$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 333 | 48.9%163 W · 170 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Wizards | 25c | 1,217$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.09 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb004…51b4backed Heat | 50c | 1,107$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Heat | 78c | 1,098$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.09 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Heat | 76c | 977.43$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.85 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Wizards | 48c | 828.57$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Heat | 76c | 789.47$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Heat | 72c | 777$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.44 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bea…f420backed Wizards | 35c | 768.19$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.07 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Wizards | 54c | 741.7$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.7 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Wizards | 23c | 692$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.84 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x541b…088fbacked Heat | 75c | 691.64$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Heat | 48c | 649.66$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.74 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…9074backed Heat | 48c | 622.08$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Wizards | 23c | 590.3$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.53 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Heat | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…f77ebacked Wizards | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Heat | 47c | 391.38$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.1 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Heat | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…9c6abacked Heat | 74c | 300$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…a828backed Wizards | 49c | 263.29$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.28 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Heat | 79c | 253.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Heat | 52c | 249.86$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.48 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd361…3885backed Wizards | 49c | 206.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.12 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Heat | 74c | 200$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.05 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ed…3cc4backed Wizards | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…df44backed Heat | 77c | 200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Heat | 77c | 200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 302 | 43.7%132 W · 170 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36db…9fd7backed Heat | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.6 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Wizards | 40c | 200$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Wizards | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Heat | 39c | 164.49$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.68 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1417…26dabacked Wizards | 23c | 155.48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.72 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Wizards | 20c | 153.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.25 | 210 | 56.2%118 W · 92 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Wizards | 54c | 150.93$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.54 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Wizards | 23c | 150$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Heat | 77c | 137.65$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.99 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Wizards | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.43 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d7…ddb8backed Wizards | 24c | 129.13$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Heat | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Heat | 39c | 122.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Heat | 24c | 108$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Heat | 77c | 101.66$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.28 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…9568backed Wizards | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d03…4366backed Heat | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Wizards | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Heat | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 388 | 45.9%178 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Wizards | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c4…a40abacked Wizards | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Wizards | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257f…12fcbacked Heat | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Heat | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.78 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500a…a800backed Wizards | 25c | 88.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.94 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd132…2cb5backed Wizards | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…2391backed Wizards | 53c | 83.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.02 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa48…3783backed Wizards | 25c | 80.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…c4d4backed Wizards | 26c | 77.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8be9…e113backed Wizards | 22c | 72.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +126.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Wizards | 50c | 70.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0317…6289backed Wizards | 49c | 68.27$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.82 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13bf…2a14backed Wizards | 22c | 67.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…30b4backed Heat | 80c | 67.44$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 41cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…7fcabacked Heat | 77c | 67.25$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e5…7d39backed Wizards | 24c | 67.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.05 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Heat | 76c | 65.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 532 | 50.4%268 W · 264 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Heat | 77c | 65.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x265d…5329backed Heat | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x109b…9556backed Heat | 77c | 63.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Heat | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Heat | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 235 | 55.3%130 W · 105 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d35…f346backed Heat | 77c | 61.43$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Wizards | 24c | 60$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Wizards | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Heat | 78c | 59.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.79 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f39…3c1fbacked Wizards | 22c | 59.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc11b…da70backed Heat | 80c | 59.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.