TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Flyers vs. Senators

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Senatorsof Flyers, Senators
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,864
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,787

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,864 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf73e…e2d7backed Flyers32c11,248$3,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,599.39250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Flyers31c7,848$2,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,461.2136242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Senators67c7,385$4,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,410.371,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b59…5f20backed Senators69c5,725$3,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,774.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Flyers43c5,343$2,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,284.6513348.1%64 W · 69 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf998…3156backed Senators68c5,204$3,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,665.32475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dde…fb61backed Senators68c4,619$3,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,478.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Flyers32c3,864$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.4930549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2387…6613backed Flyers31c3,770$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.7650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Senators42c3,171$1,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,834.251,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Senators68c3,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Flyers33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.924546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Senators46c2,857$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,544.8558467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Senators60c2,037$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.683,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c74…cc9fbacked Flyers31c1,955$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.05742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Senators70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.5715261.8%94 W · 58 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67e4…744ebacked Senators68c1,424$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.55475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b8…612abacked Senators59c1,335$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.224955.1%27 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Senators68c1,191$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.1849351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…79e0backed Senators66c1,165$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.842055%11 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Flyers1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Senators68c958$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.5675155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c43…1f64backed Flyers32c937$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.841353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff1f…d5dfbacked Senators68c937$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.841442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Senators67c791.64$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.984051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Senators67c767.76$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.3631753.9%171 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Flyers33c728$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.2479251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45d7…1935backed Senators69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.646450%32 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Flyers34c696$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.6437738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd33b…4e00backed Flyers32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015246.7%71 W · 81 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Senators54c462.96$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.967634.2%26 W · 50 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Senators68c445.86$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.6320649.5%102 W · 104 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Flyers58c415.23$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.8617448.9%85 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb322…2179backed Flyers45c377.78$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1703043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36db…9fd7backed Senators68c376.87$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.611751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Senators68c362$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.846850%34 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75aa…58f1backed Senators69c347.83$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.832544%11 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Senators60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.335470.4%38 W · 16 L+6.5wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Senators68c326.91$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.6129748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Senators68c295$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.651,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Senators66c263.52$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6728440.1%114 W · 170 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Flyers37c249.54$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4491334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Flyers34c234$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0172847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Senators68c221.94$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0250857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x792b…0775backed Senators70c193$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.8420861.5%128 W · 80 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Flyers33c182.3$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1413845.7%63 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8896…7d78backed Senators66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.527071.4%50 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0f…0444backed Flyers33c150.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.73933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-38.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Senators70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.861,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97fa…f7a6backed Senators70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.86966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa415…c2d8backed Flyers32c140.97$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.11944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd02a…c712backed Senators43c131.65$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.7938744.2%171 W · 216 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Senators68c129.56$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4697651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9eea…0153backed Flyers32c125$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4136…7c2dbacked Flyers32c119.25$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Senators65c108.56$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3866951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce02…f887backed Senators69c103.77$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.176956.5%39 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Senators68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3235154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Flyers32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3281846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Senators66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3427643.5%120 W · 156 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f95…9bd4backed Flyers77c100$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa8c…b66ebacked Flyers32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324139%16 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7381…5b63backed Flyers32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3260042.8%257 W · 343 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Senators64c93.75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.759149.5%45 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x068b…b1fbbacked Senators69c81.16$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.161361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4476…8ce2backed Flyers59c77.64$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf787…29d9backed Senators69c76.98$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.09922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick53cpaid-64.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd15c…e6e4backed Senators66c75.82$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.78728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-47.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d46…4130backed Senators68c75$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8239…ddd7backed Senators39c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.51844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6fa…7bd1backed Flyers32c75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick45cpaid-50.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Flyers33c73$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0958346.5%271 W · 312 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Senators69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.469755.7%54 W · 43 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x30b9…1308backed Senators68c72.43$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.18742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe84e…2d6ebacked Senators69c72.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.451464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Senators70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.431,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cf9…6503backed Senators69c70.77$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.94862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x639e…1f29backed Senators69c65.54$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.32988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.32per pick57cpaid+65.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x270b…c73fbacked Flyers32c64.97$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.79966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f03…b69abacked Flyers32c64.17$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.537516%12 W · 63 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-43.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd132…2cb5backed Flyers32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207346.6%34 W · 39 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e7d…eee9backed Flyers32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-41.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b95…8affbacked Senators68c59.25$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.256363.5%40 W · 23 L+7.2wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+27.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfd47…8277backed Flyers42c59.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255145.1%23 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7751…491bbacked Flyers66c52.42$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33dc…415ebacked Flyers31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.515730.6%48 W · 109 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3219…4f05backed Senators68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162763%17 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a9f…3b4bbacked Senators61c48.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.965673.2%41 W · 15 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcc0c…04cbbacked Senators68c44.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.43534.3%12 W · 23 L-7.3wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-43%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xd28a…6bdcbacked Flyers32c44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.085536.4%20 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2089…0be0backed Senators69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.48862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Flyers47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2054418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Senators46c42.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.985464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Flyers34c42.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3244848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Flyers48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018452.2%96 W · 88 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a7…8d9fbacked Senators69c37.52$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.631060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1764…02f6backed Flyers32c36.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.81944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Senators68c36.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7619852.5%104 W · 94 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Flyers32c36.35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7360741%249 W · 358 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Senators70c35.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7141954.4%228 W · 191 L-1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.