TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$254,092
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$314,966

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,092 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8e0…1dd2backed No31c30,208$9,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,4076953.6%37 W · 32 L+7.7wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+27.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa7b3…92f8backed Yes69c21,726$14,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,735.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked No32c19,292$6,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,180.9911454.4%62 W · 52 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x19e2…1bbabacked No36c16,392$5,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,90020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x178e…76f7backed No34c15,401$5,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,164.422231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc04d…69e7backed Yes69c14,473$9,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,486.52560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb00f…db97backed Yes70c14,337$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,337.31225%3 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-50%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes67c14,121$9,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,713.0218948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No31c13,895$4,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,366.4713547.4%64 W · 71 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No26c10,709$2,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,774.6856453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes68c7,826$5,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,494.9414156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked No32c7,637$2,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,443.838750.6%44 W · 43 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa259…7724backed Yes69c7,597$5,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,355.16580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+47.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed Yes68c7,353$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,352.964264.3%27 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No34c7,020$2,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,382.9279650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No18c6,213$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.5738645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3d…2adbbacked Yes68c5,134$3,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,659.233060%18 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc36…1fa0backed Yes66c4,979$3,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,692.88837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4344…caefbacked No32c4,901$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,568.471435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bae…55b5backed Yes66c4,339$2,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,475.398742.5%37 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes69c3,056$2,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.8811548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Yes67c2,908$1,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.77652.6%40 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca86…4002backed No1c2,500$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-74%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Yes69c2,484$1,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.062450%12 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-26.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes68c2,370$1,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.0512037.5%45 W · 75 L-15.8wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-30.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed No30c2,150$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.620744%91 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62040640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes66c1,818$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.1812053.3%64 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd548…9713backed No36c1,670$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.131050%5 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+25.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a8…4673backed Yes68c1,610$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.291369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+42.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0bc5…63c0backed Yes66c1,601$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.494100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+84.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x965f…f167backed No34c1,600$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes68c1,500$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48021153.1%112 W · 99 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8773…302fbacked Yes67c1,500$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4953256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No15c1,500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22537652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes68c1,200$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39044939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x471f…f60abacked Yes69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3102777.8%21 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick74cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3836…2cc0backed Yes68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3201100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No33c999.88$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.9634643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04f2…6fe4backed Yes66c909$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.062755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked No32c888.1$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.191233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No33c728$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.2483459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x623f…395ebacked Yes69c712.96$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.023138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No33c685.99$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.2152060.4%314 W · 206 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a83…b4dcbacked Yes67c665.81$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.72425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-62.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed No32c630.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.2221445.8%98 W · 116 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes68c586.43$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.7932737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x610a…1395backed Yes69c579.71$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.71520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-71%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe941…4623backed Yes67c499.98$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.99475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked No33c475.51$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.9213857.2%79 W · 59 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes67c447.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.767341.1%30 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed Yes74c439$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.526177%47 W · 14 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fa1…591abacked Yes69c401.06$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.333119.4%6 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-64.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd043…ee49backed Yes69c391.3$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77e2…55f1backed No32c382.5$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes68c319.91$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.916944.9%31 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf526…0146backed Yes69c318.84$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.843534.3%12 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa3…072dbacked No20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605558.2%32 W · 23 L+8.0wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+23%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No32c291.99$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4431944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No32c286$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.2259958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes68c265.11$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.115642.9%24 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a69…a466backed Yes69c255.23$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.121464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick60cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Yes68c252.71$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.873351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Yes65c250$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.514945%67 W · 82 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeae7…1884backed Yes67c248.31$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.94728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-59.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes67c223.88$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.887061.4%43 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc2e…2358backed Yes67c219.92$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.577447.3%35 W · 39 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe060…fda8backed Yes67c210.18$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.368155.6%45 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Yes67c210.16$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.355358.5%31 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes66c197.9$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4823350.2%117 W · 116 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked Yes69c194.7$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.364566.7%30 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No31c193.62$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0240046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc797…49cdbacked Yes69c169.57$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.57540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-41.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c6d…b4d0backed No33c159.67$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb7…7faebacked No33c153.73$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c37…4e9bbacked Yes68c150$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482552%13 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69bb…0f5cbacked Yes67c150$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x467f…5f35backed Yes69c149.28$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2513449.3%66 W · 68 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0629653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe2c4…a40abacked Yes68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.061546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2333…c1f2backed Yes68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.061952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x184c…6828backed No32c146.81$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d21…28ddbacked Yes69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.93683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick62cpaid+46.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed No36c140.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3614953.7%80 W · 69 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x724b…7ef7backed No33c138.67$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No33c135.41$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9340135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x257c…49aabacked Yes69c132.83$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.181030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-59.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Yes69c130.43$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.434440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde93…bef4backed Yes68c121.88$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick66cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33dc…415ebacked No32c120$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.88334.9%29 W · 54 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2fa…4d49backed Yes66c116.53$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.626350.8%32 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb5b…69ebbacked Yes68c116.18$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1814441%59 W · 85 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Yes69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318453.6%45 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fcc…5b93backed Yes69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe019…018bbacked Yes69c86.96$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.968339.8%33 W · 50 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d9f…af72backed Yes66c81.08$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.572360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No32c79.16$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3318752.9%99 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf73…eaf1backed Yes68c78.56$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.14250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd29…55ccbacked Yes68c78.34$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.