Premier League · resolved market
Will Leicester win on 2025-04-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a9c621aa30a5aa442ea9edceb9d0ddc2581985880a554bbbe1ed31f8c26ef23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,449
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19e2…1bbabacked Yes | 14c | 14,286$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 12c | 2,432$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.87 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 11c | 2,201$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.5 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 12c | 1,757$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.84 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd548…9713backed Yes | 14c | 1,430$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.86 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 12c | 1,242$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.13 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32bd…c195backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…a9d7backed Yes | 13c | 850$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…2916backed Yes | 13c | 820$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 10c | 725.94$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.59 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ad…0b30backed Yes | 13c | 640$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b8…6a67backed Yes | 13c | 640$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Yes | 3c | 500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Yes | 12c | 294.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…c476backed Yes | 12c | 147.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc85…b081backed Yes | 13c | 145$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb94d…4402backed Yes | 13c | 145$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe8…6fd2backed Yes | 13c | 145$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x811f…349ebacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…3917backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c35…1a76backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 11c | 125$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2566…95c7backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +57%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x186d…07f2backed Yes | 13c | 85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…fe4bbacked Yes | 13c | 85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 13c | 79.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leicester win on 2025-04-07?this page
- Will Leicester vs. Newcastle end in a draw?No won
- Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.