TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. 76ers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hawksof Hawks, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$421,957
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$537,797

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $421,957 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8845…ae48backed 76ers15c52,333$7,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,8501513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-66.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb00f…db97backed 76ers18c30,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,4004533.3%15 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked 76ers9c22,934$2,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,120.6112938%49 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed 76ers16c21,276$3,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,432.0228241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked 76ers18c18,327$3,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,252.9166853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x294f…4576backed 76ers16c10,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed 76ers20c8,007$1,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,584.1946342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed 76ers16c7,900$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.73,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed 76ers18c6,932$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.411,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce7…fd4abacked Hawks75c6,692$5,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,675.714057.9%81 W · 59 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Hawks69c5,797$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,796.928962.9%56 W · 33 L+6.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked 76ers0c5,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed 76ers16c4,346$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.5837734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Hawks78c4,238$3,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.4873051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Hawks79c4,210$3,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.7161851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b6b…68eebacked 76ers18c4,172$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.951735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed 76ers18c4,108$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.9477745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed 76ers19c3,120$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.541,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccc0…0fa5backed 76ers17c2,648$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.111855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed 76ers0c2,532$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.721,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6790…5e06backed 76ers17c2,528$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.87335.6%26 W · 47 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed 76ers19c2,526$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4806026.7%16 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88db…3843backed 76ers20c2,300$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45117546.3%81 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b88…d628backed 76ers22c2,000$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4392437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked 76ers1c1,965$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.295502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42e0…0578backed Hawks73c1,772$1,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.0520553.7%110 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked 76ers18c1,682$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30025536.9%94 W · 161 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked 76ers3c1,432$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.38783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed 76ers16c1,121$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.46254.8%34 W · 28 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked 76ers1c1,010$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2524423.8%58 W · 186 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-56.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked 76ers16c1,006$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.981,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed 76ers18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18032130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd574…425dbacked Hawks80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked 76ers14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14045348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed 76ers35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked 76ers18c938.63$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.51,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbcad…5078backed 76ers37c876.16$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.594052.5%21 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed Hawks78c851.37$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.3784957.6%489 W · 360 L-52.1wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked 76ers22c794.11$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17310837%40 W · 68 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked 76ers16c782.65$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.222,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1571…c4e6backed 76ers24c736.95$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.6119419.1%37 W · 157 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa647…64eebacked 76ers33c610$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.419350.3%97 W · 96 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x823d…8091backed 76ers36c550.92$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005330.2%16 W · 37 L-7.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed 76ers8c519.34$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4026431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed 76ers16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8029747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ff…e272backed 76ers18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacc1…e0fcbacked 76ers20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked 76ers28c496.42$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13949849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed 76ers25c480$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.339843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed 76ers6c440$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.81434.9%7 W · 136 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-43.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed 76ers16c405$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.810428.8%30 W · 74 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed 76ers13c392.35$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3911753%62 W · 55 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf74…6f5cbacked 76ers16c387.52$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked 76ers14c360.35$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.459338.7%36 W · 57 L+10.0wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+91.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed 76ers12c352.75$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4337011.4%42 W · 328 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x473b…bdbbbacked 76ers17c341.22$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.01837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-36.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed 76ers15c319.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.633746.3%156 W · 181 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c85…cfecbacked 76ers17c303.54$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-62%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Hawks73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8140448.3%195 W · 209 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed Hawks75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7517256.4%97 W · 75 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3604…4ca5backed 76ers17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-49.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked 76ers17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023646.6%110 W · 126 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ba8…61b7backed Hawks63c270.27$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003925.6%10 W · 29 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick17cpaid-9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed 76ers37c268.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Hawks80c255.43$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.649444.7%42 W · 52 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked 76ers11c250.01$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.536514.2%52 W · 313 L+0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8117…d501backed 76ers14c230$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed 76ers16c223$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.972,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc3…3febbacked Hawks80c220$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.638373.5%61 W · 22 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x57b9…7726backed 76ers19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3813138.9%51 W · 80 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9228…e41abacked 76ers16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3230243.7%132 W · 170 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2851…ed75backed 76ers36c190$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-34.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x764b…a7babacked 76ers18c177.78$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e4…7268backed 76ers18c173.5$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.23837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-39.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed 76ers29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Hawks80c165$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0585347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked 76ers24c151.64$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.391,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe45d…f77ebacked Hawks68c146.38$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3825336.8%93 W · 160 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c0c…76fabacked 76ers15c131.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7710451%53 W · 51 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa346…738fbacked 76ers20c127.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.455042%21 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33c7…e344backed 76ers16c120$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick44cpaid-65.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked 76ers30c119.15$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.753158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1fb…f89bbacked Hawks72c117$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01fd…8bacbacked 76ers28c117$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e36…e408backed 76ers28c114$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5918…2c33backed Hawks72c114$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe40b…c39cbacked Hawks72c113$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c60…463abacked 76ers28c113$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed 76ers17c111.76$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1936423.4%85 W · 279 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf24f…5039backed 76ers28c101$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfac2…00eabacked Hawks72c101$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87cd…b8f5backed 76ers18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd132…2cb5backed 76ers19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194247.6%20 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce54…d757backed 76ers20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-36.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x286e…adb7backed 76ers17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked 76ers19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1920443.6%89 W · 115 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6072…fb46backed 76ers17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179543.2%41 W · 54 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Hawks65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3547535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d3d…c574backed Hawks64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b17…fa7fbacked 76ers28c99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.