TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Bucks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bucksof Pistons, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$297,294
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$343,733

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $297,294 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xae36…8fb5backed Bucks80c65,833$52,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,316.0810357.3%59 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons39c30,901$12,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,135.353,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Pistons25c17,310$4,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,364.8812938%49 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Pistons31c10,557$3,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,245.3429957.2%171 W · 128 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Bucks63c9,726$6,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,646.191,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Bucks59c7,888$4,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,243.4328347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Pistons32c7,883$2,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,555.2725016.8%42 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Bucks57c6,508$3,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,777.031,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Pistons50c6,416$3,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,212.4448046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Bucks59c5,920$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,420.2822457.1%128 W · 96 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Bucks28c5,900$1,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,24828341.7%118 W · 165 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Pistons0c5,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.753350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Pistons72c5,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,599.971,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Pistons41c4,363$1,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,784.9180146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0f3…d82cbacked Pistons72c4,155$2,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,971.4915551%79 W · 76 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Bucks24c4,139$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,139.310541%43 W · 62 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Pistons50c3,917$1,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,973.2629738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Pistons31c3,676$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.2670640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Bucks28c3,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,16040627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Bucks50c2,605$1,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,302.496454.7%35 W · 29 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Pistons62c2,430$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5008434.5%29 W · 55 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed Bucks25c2,400$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.996026.7%16 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Bucks58c2,315$1,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.9888053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed Bucks29c2,222$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,588.0236423.4%85 W · 279 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19b8…612abacked Pistons59c2,220$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,309.542748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Pistons61c2,135$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,304.8666744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pistons75c2,082$1,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,552.655,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Bucks78c2,072$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.2319451.5%100 W · 94 L-17.8wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-17.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Pistons1c2,010$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2524423.8%58 W · 186 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-56.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8377…4198backed Bucks50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0005940.7%24 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Pistons34c1,789$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.1546342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7be…570cbacked Pistons56c1,786$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-39.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Pistons24c1,740$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.164854.2%26 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3942…70ccbacked Bucks24c1,550$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x561d…4912backed Pistons76c1,550$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-60.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47f9…af6ebacked Pistons2c1,500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355318.9%10 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick21cpaid+80.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Bucks72c1,390$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.288851.1%45 W · 43 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Bucks29c1,355$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.6577745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Pistons48c1,204$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.1325939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd361…3885backed Bucks71c1,173$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.561752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Bucks29c1,150$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.51,19846.8%561 W · 637 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Bucks54c1,104$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.738962.9%56 W · 33 L+6.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Pistons74c1,098$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.557760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Pistons1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb678…f74dbacked Pistons1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102619.2%5 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-36.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb004…51b4backed Pistons29c999.99$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2904531.1%14 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a8…4673backed Bucks40c999.61$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.61757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a75…4347backed Pistons27c900$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24313248.5%64 W · 68 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Pistons2c870$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.288783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Pistons71c863.32$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.9673051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fcf…48e1backed Bucks24c832$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.321631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Pistons75c800$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60019943.7%87 W · 112 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Bucks22c787.63$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.0337734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…971fbacked Bucks79c785.15$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-57.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x366c…6578backed Bucks75c745.32$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.74714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-80.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcec5…20d8backed Pistons28c717.17$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Bucks28c714.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.2910246.1%47 W · 55 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Pistons2c680.21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.618518.4%34 W · 151 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed Bucks28c669.18$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.8131125.1%78 W · 233 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Pistons75c662.67$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49720153.7%108 W · 93 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Bucks20c618.92$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.191,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Pistons21c583.08$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.4511250%56 W · 56 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9997…af3bbacked Pistons78c546.61$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.368259.8%49 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9827…e5ffbacked Pistons80c544.3$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4353050%15 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pistons36c507.19$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.5249849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Bucks73c504.36$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.1838143%164 W · 217 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Pistons72c500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb322…2179backed Bucks58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2104040%16 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa756…48b3backed Pistons60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-73.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Pistons35c500$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.8451037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72fe…2a60backed Bucks73c498.53$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.645647.8%218 W · 238 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Bucks73c452.27$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.1123554.5%128 W · 107 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Pistons11c445.84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Bucks45c444.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.789744.3%43 W · 54 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Bucks67c444.59$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.5926934.9%94 W · 175 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Pistons43c442.26$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9847229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c16…6bd1backed Bucks60c435.86$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.343568.6%24 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f2b…cb1cbacked Bucks28c435.71$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.712944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Pistons77c400$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30861345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Bucks53c375.71$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.5847542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Bucks25c368.97$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.7210428.8%30 W · 74 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa33…8dbcbacked Pistons53c367.11$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.1829450.3%148 W · 146 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pistons41c364.75$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.391,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Bucks28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.1489353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b92…046ebacked Bucks28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.1416140.4%65 W · 96 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d4a…2215backed Bucks64c312.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.5119838.9%77 W · 121 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x10ae…cb95backed Bucks45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16526049.2%128 W · 132 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe59…a131backed Pistons72c299.99$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.9915365.4%100 W · 53 L-0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4759…ec88backed Bucks55c281.93$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.48350.6%42 W · 41 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x433b…58debacked Bucks33c215.15$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.155726.3%15 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x363a…df44backed Bucks24c205.12$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.894841.7%20 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Pistons24c200$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4712222.1%27 W · 95 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Bucks44c200$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11320443.6%89 W · 115 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Bucks65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7020447.1%96 W · 108 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked Bucks62c199.99$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768153.1%43 W · 38 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Pistons74c199.9$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.9233348.9%163 W · 170 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc20c…fa4bbacked Bucks45c190$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.56358.7%37 W · 26 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed Pistons7c184.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.461434.9%7 W · 136 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-43.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c71…0cf9backed Bucks67c180$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6959…084fbacked Pistons44c179.73$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.892369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.