NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d957e4db0b265fb277fc80161ccfc1104735c1546dd00b0fe7fb3c1dc833f92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Sabres, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,631
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,268
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,631 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Sabres | 29c | 18,808$5,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,479.03 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Lightning | 70c | 6,369$4,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.61 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Lightning | 53c | 5,283$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,483.02 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Sabres | 47c | 5,245$2,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,458.96 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Lightning | 71c | 3,394$2,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.71 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Sabres | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed Lightning | 67c | 2,930$1,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.02 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Lightning | 71c | 2,669$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.54 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…051bbacked Lightning | 71c | 2,500$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…275cbacked Sabres | 1c | 2,408$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lightning | 71c | 2,346$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.21 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Lightning | 70c | 1,911$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.11 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Lightning | 71c | 1,869$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.98 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Sabres | 2c | 1,700$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Lightning | 71c | 1,640$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.47 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3219…4f05backed Lightning | 71c | 1,525$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.25 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd500…eb4fbacked Sabres | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Sabres | 30c | 1,468$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.89 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Lightning | 71c | 1,338$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.02 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Lightning | 70c | 1,250$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Sabres | 30c | 1,154$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.2 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Sabres | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Sabres | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Lightning | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a0…f8aabacked Sabres | 30c | 767.52$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.94 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Lightning | 71c | 737.46$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.86 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Lightning | 72c | 696.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.58 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Lightning | 70c | 658.14$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.93 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed Sabres | 29c | 600.57$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lightning | 70c | 596.13$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.84 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…32eebacked Lightning | 67c | 569.96$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.72 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lightning | 62c | 564.27$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.22 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ac…7f5abacked Lightning | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd7…1778backed Lightning | 70c | 441.05$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.3 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lightning | 46c | 429.13$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.73 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Lightning | 71c | 419.38$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.38 | 88 | 70.5%62 W · 26 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Lightning | 71c | 417.21$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.93 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Lightning | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Lightning | 70c | 393.9$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.17 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Lightning | 71c | 350$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Lightning | 70c | 344$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Sabres | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…f2afbacked Lightning | 53c | 305.57$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.62 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Sabres | 4c | 302$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8896…7d78backed Lightning | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 70 | 71.4%50 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Sabres | 35c | 248.47$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 106 | 38.7%41 W · 65 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Sabres | 25c | 210.23$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…58f1backed Lightning | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Sabres | 28c | 183.21$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Lightning | 70c | 172.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.17 | 234 | 62%145 W · 89 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Sabres | 23c | 161.11$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb103…b1dbbacked Sabres | 31c | 157.42$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Lightning | 72c | 150.98$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36db…9fd7backed Lightning | 71c | 150$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Lightning | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bc…73b7backed Sabres | 37c | 136.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f03…b69abacked Sabres | 26c | 135.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 75 | 16%12 W · 63 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…fa16backed Sabres | 30c | 133.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb08…621dbacked Sabres | 29c | 120$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd11a…bbfebacked Lightning | 71c | 120$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e09…fd64backed Sabres | 30c | 118.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…c4b2backed Sabres | 29c | 110.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…3cc3backed Sabres | 30c | 110$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4073…23d4backed Lightning | 70c | 110$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906a…531dbacked Lightning | 71c | 108.45$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…d04ebacked Sabres | 30c | 108$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x275b…998cbacked Lightning | 70c | 108$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Sabres | 19c | 103.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 387 | 44.2%171 W · 216 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Sabres | 29c | 103.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Lightning | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Sabres | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Lightning | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x701f…6d50backed Lightning | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…a55abacked Sabres | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Sabres | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 600 | 42.8%257 W · 343 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba48…6f06backed Sabres | 29c | 99.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5e…70c8backed Lightning | 70c | 98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf2…7b04backed Sabres | 30c | 98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffa…ae4fbacked Sabres | 29c | 97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa6…a45bbacked Lightning | 71c | 97$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Lightning | 70c | 95.27$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 284 | 40.1%114 W · 170 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25b8…dc36backed Sabres | 30c | 94.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Lightning | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f87…5c55backed Sabres | 29c | 93.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3b…08a3backed Lightning | 72c | 93.33$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9b…3035backed Sabres | 29c | 92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc268…675ebacked Lightning | 71c | 92$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x964f…d25bbacked Lightning | 71c | 91$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…ed1abacked Sabres | 29c | 91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…e097backed Lightning | 72c | 90.51$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db9…48c4backed Lightning | 71c | 88.07$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb7…bf7cbacked Lightning | 72c | 87.54$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeba5…5238backed Sabres | 29c | 86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba3…c958backed Lightning | 71c | 86$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…adcbbacked Sabres | 29c | 83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04c…a7d1backed Lightning | 71c | 83$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6baa…7b57backed Sabres | 29c | 81.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b1…b61ebacked Sabres | 30c | 78.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f23…4756backed Lightning | 70c | 78.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…ed7abacked Sabres | 30c | 78.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.