NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Clippers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bf0e0c3932322c6b5503ececfb6ab7956056e9dcd60cdacba98d5d45353edff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Rockets, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $459,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $476,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $459,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb00f…db97backed Rockets | 19c | 150,266$28,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,190 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Rockets | 25c | 26,482$6,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,518.06 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Clippers | 72c | 22,142$15,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,223.21 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Clippers | 74c | 21,216$15,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,605.2 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Clippers | 74c | 19,592$14,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,137.97 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Rockets | 25c | 18,097$4,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,595.22 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Clippers | 73c | 17,916$13,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,894.95 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…7724backed Rockets | 29c | 17,087$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Clippers | 79c | 16,000$12,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Rockets | 0c | 10,041$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb72…68b8backed Rockets | 7c | 9,809$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Clippers | 78c | 9,468$7,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,103.89 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rockets | 7c | 5,802$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.96 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Clippers | 76c | 5,781$4,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Rockets | 28c | 5,293$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Clippers | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Rockets | 0c | 5,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Rockets | 26c | 4,640$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.11 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Clippers | 74c | 3,863$2,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.78 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Rockets | 20c | 3,400$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.33 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Clippers | 73c | 3,098$2,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.14 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Clippers | 74c | 3,044$2,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.44 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Rockets | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Rockets | 1c | 2,932$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Rockets | 3c | 2,855$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.14 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Clippers | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed Rockets | 29c | 2,452$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.6 | 407 | 26%106 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Rockets | 30c | 2,400$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Clippers | 79c | 2,308$1,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.37 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Rockets | 18c | 2,121$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.4 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Rockets | 2c | 2,093$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.78 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rockets | 22c | 2,026$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.17 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Rockets | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Rockets | 27c | 1,642$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.05 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…56d0backed Clippers | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Rockets | 7c | 1,500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…1715backed Rockets | 28c | 1,478$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.84 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Rockets | 3c | 1,470$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d5…3926backed Rockets | 30c | 1,458$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.45 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7be6…0530backed Clippers | 70c | 1,454$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Rockets | 29c | 1,350$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Clippers | 74c | 1,325$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.98 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Rockets | 23c | 1,310$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Clippers | 70c | 1,253$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.05 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Clippers | 80c | 1,111$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.81 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed Rockets | 17c | 1,042$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.14 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Rockets | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Clippers | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rockets | 19c | 1,000$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.31 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bc…6876backed Rockets | 20c | 989.92$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Rockets | 16c | 967.85$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.26 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Rockets | 32c | 946.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Rockets | 33c | 902.13$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Clippers | 70c | 878.15$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.88 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…a131backed Clippers | 70c | 855.26$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.13 | 153 | 65.4%100 W · 53 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Rockets | 32c | 799.99$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64fb…60d1backed Rockets | 33c | 782.72$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.81 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Clippers | 70c | 742.1$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.08 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Clippers | 73c | 697.42$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.86 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Rockets | 24c | 650$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Clippers | 72c | 602$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.56 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Clippers | 70c | 600$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…510dbacked Rockets | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Clippers | 72c | 594.37$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.6 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Rockets | 24c | 581.74$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.9 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rockets | 10c | 533.33$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Rockets | 9c | 528.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Rockets | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…12b7backed Rockets | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x890d…f10cbacked Rockets | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Rockets | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Rockets | 21c | 469.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Rockets | 23c | 459.26$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.06 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Clippers | 65c | 457.02$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.3 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Clippers | 64c | 439.54$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.25 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf68…d971backed Rockets | 9c | 433.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Clippers | 77c | 422.25$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.11 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Rockets | 25c | 409.96$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.49 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3739…6adabacked Rockets | 5c | 364.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6f…ea97backed Rockets | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Clippers | 39c | 346.82$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.84 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…c25ebacked Rockets | 29c | 345.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Clippers | 75c | 325.83$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.46 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rockets | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Clippers | 71c | 318.16$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.27 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Clippers | 71c | 303.26$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.92 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3be2…ac88backed Rockets | 18c | 300$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Clippers | 73c | 274.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.28 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Rockets | 7c | 260$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Rockets | 9c | 258.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 718 | 23.3%167 W · 551 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Rockets | 14c | 244.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 345 | 48.7%168 W · 177 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe16f…27c9backed Rockets | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…f310backed Rockets | 11c | 202.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Rockets | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 302 | 43.7%132 W · 170 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Rockets | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4a…74ddbacked Rockets | 23c | 189.6$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f2…ef26backed Rockets | 27c | 186.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f4…bc07backed Rockets | 27c | 173.93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rockets | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x967c…a16dbacked Clippers | 64c | 157.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.