NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Pacers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6b8dd094f0aa76d4abfda7be4d79ec7386772bf85e3d387947a776edfae3e87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $513,377
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $530,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $513,377 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 258 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05f1…9357backed Pacers | 74c | 150,000$111,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111,000 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28d3…0ecabacked Magic | 26c | 150,000$39,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Pacers | 6c | 94,510$5,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,332.69 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…db97backed Magic | 38c | 29,218$11,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,983.13 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Pacers | 68c | 18,285$12,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,343.8 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 75c | 17,516$13,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,384.99 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Magic | 40c | 17,241$6,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,390.28 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Pacers | 63c | 13,169$8,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,358.52 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…7b47backed Pacers | 5c | 10,489$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.32 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4528…ce3abacked Magic | 28c | 10,001$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2e…568abacked Pacers | 72c | 9,994$7,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,195.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pacers | 63c | 8,792$5,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,570.59 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Magic | 48c | 7,888$3,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,083.44 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…5fd7backed Pacers | 77c | 7,785$5,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,989.06 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Magic | 30c | 7,343$2,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,157.27 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…ae48backed Magic | 39c | 5,722$2,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,495.95 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Magic | 27c | 5,230$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,809.32 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Pacers | 1c | 5,150$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Pacers | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pacers | 59c | 4,998$2,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,948.79 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Pacers | 73c | 4,382$3,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.06 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Pacers | 62c | 4,018$2,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,504.55 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Pacers | 1c | 3,950$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…68eebacked Magic | 36c | 3,562$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,286.46 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Magic | 27c | 3,486$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,553.38 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Magic | 38c | 3,444$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,140.37 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Pacers | 74c | 2,685$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Magic | 34c | 2,580$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.54 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Pacers | 60c | 2,508$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Pacers | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Pacers | 77c | 2,500$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcad…5078backed Pacers | 60c | 2,297$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.24 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Pacers | 1c | 2,220$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5295…d666backed Pacers | 9c | 2,200$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pacers | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Pacers | 1c | 1,988$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Pacers | 61c | 1,960$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.67 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Pacers | 61c | 1,943$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.18 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Magic | 25c | 1,800$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.96 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Pacers | 1c | 1,755$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Pacers | 60c | 1,694$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.59 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b8…976cbacked Magic | 26c | 1,522$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.04 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Magic | 28c | 1,518$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.52 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Pacers | 74c | 1,400$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.97 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pacers | 41c | 1,342$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.49 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Pacers | 70c | 1,267$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.63 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Magic | 30c | 1,266$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.15 | 333 | 48.9%163 W · 170 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Pacers | 37c | 1,171$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.75 | 172 | 56.4%97 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Magic | 35c | 1,154$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.48 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Magic | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.43 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Pacers | 61c | 1,030$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.49 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Magic | 32c | 1,022$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.86 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Pacers | 1c | 1,010$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Magic | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pacers | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Magic | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Pacers | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Pacers | 29c | 867.05$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.44 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Magic | 36c | 833$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.12 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Pacers | 61c | 820$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.2 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Magic | 24c | 820$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.19 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Magic | 28c | 797$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.4 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Pacers | 70c | 699.98$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.98 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Pacers | 24c | 660.36$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 561 | 54.5%306 W · 255 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Magic | 39c | 651.52$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.46 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Magic | 32c | 627.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.07 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Magic | 39c | 612.07$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.8 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Pacers | 68c | 543.54$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.26 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Pacers | 60c | 524$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.4 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Magic | 30c | 522.37$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.46 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Pacers | 75c | 513.2$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.53 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Magic | 24c | 504.51$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.59 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…2f8abacked Pacers | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8773…302fbacked Pacers | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Magic | 25c | 499.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.99 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Pacers | 38c | 430.26$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.49 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Magic | 55c | 424.37$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.39 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Magic | 35c | 423.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.2 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Magic | 24c | 405$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.8 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Pacers | 6c | 402$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Pacers | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0317…6289backed Magic | 41c | 395.2$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.17 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64fb…60d1backed Magic | 22c | 363.64$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.64 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Magic | 54c | 355$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.7 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Magic | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Pacers | 71c | 309.89$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.03 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Pacers | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Pacers | 73c | 300$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Pacers | 35c | 281.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Magic | 31c | 272.34$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.86 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Pacers | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x509b…429dbacked Magic | 27c | 252.07$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Pacers | 21c | 250$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Magic | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Pacers | 61c | 238.75$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.45 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Magic | 33c | 223.77$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.77 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bc…73b7backed Pacers | 61c | 220.76$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.48 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…b2a6backed Pacers | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed Pacers | 49c | 200.41$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.84 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc3…3febbacked Magic | 79c | 200.01$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 83 | 73.5%61 W · 22 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.