NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad85a4b5169ae5876f31c47e8f317bd2c8728a02dc172746f95dda373acb6f82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $419,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $440,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $419,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 730 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Kings | 40c | 75,552$30,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,523.73 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Nuggets | 64c | 33,829$21,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,178.44 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Kings | 36c | 20,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,199.96 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Nuggets | 60c | 19,030$11,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,541.71 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Kings | 9c | 11,945$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Kings | 42c | 10,359$4,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,322.64 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 21c | 10,067$2,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,084.87 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Kings | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.95 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb400…1ed9backed Nuggets | 76c | 9,997$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,396.62 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Kings | 31c | 9,900$3,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,114.81 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Nuggets | 59c | 9,646$5,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,978.22 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Nuggets | 60c | 8,547$5,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,418.64 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nuggets | 57c | 8,541$4,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,647.51 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Nuggets | 61c | 8,138$4,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,173.94 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Kings | 25c | 8,015$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.28 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Kings | 38c | 7,132$2,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,685.88 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Kings | 37c | 6,873$2,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,542.88 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Nuggets | 77c | 5,908$4,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.63 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Kings | 0c | 5,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Nuggets | 64c | 4,921$3,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.51 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Kings | 1c | 4,575$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Nuggets | 60c | 4,543$2,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.1 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Kings | 43c | 3,965$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.89 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Kings | 21c | 3,859$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.95 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Kings | 43c | 3,611$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Kings | 0c | 3,508$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Nuggets | 64c | 3,500$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Kings | 22c | 3,006$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.5 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Nuggets | 63c | 2,944$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.11 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Kings | 16c | 2,887$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.3 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Kings | 21c | 2,467$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.59 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…e9cdbacked Nuggets | 65c | 2,431$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.77 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Kings | 41c | 2,400$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.3 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Nuggets | 70c | 2,298$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.65 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed Nuggets | 75c | 2,228$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.22 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -8.4wins | -0.17per pick | 70cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kings | 26c | 2,183$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.11 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Nuggets | 56c | 2,104$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.43 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…d9b9backed Kings | 1c | 2,049$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 69 | 17.4%12 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Nuggets | 59c | 2,042$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.23 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Nuggets | 63c | 2,032$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.81 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…56d0backed Nuggets | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…1715backed Kings | 42c | 1,994$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.48 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ff…6c51backed Nuggets | 63c | 1,630$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.1 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…9931backed Nuggets | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Nuggets | 62c | 1,510$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.8 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Nuggets | 62c | 1,393$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.34 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Nuggets | 60c | 1,348$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.62 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Kings | 16c | 1,244$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Nuggets | 59c | 1,200$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Nuggets | 64c | 1,177$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.82 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Nuggets | 60c | 1,096$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.49 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Kings | 2c | 1,095$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80db…a8c5backed Kings | 28c | 1,047$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Kings | 1c | 1,010$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Kings | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Kings | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Kings | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Kings | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Nuggets | 60c | 849$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.43 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Nuggets | 60c | 826.94$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.77 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Nuggets | 61c | 819.84$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.84 | 314 | 53.5%168 W · 146 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…76fabacked Nuggets | 61c | 810.02$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.91 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Nuggets | 61c | 804.48$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.75 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff1f…d5dfbacked Nuggets | 63c | 793$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaf…1aaebacked Kings | 37c | 793$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.41 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Nuggets | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Nuggets | 61c | 678.03$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.66 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Kings | 37c | 678$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.86 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Kings | 36c | 674.56$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Kings | 5c | 665$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Nuggets | 60c | 652.28$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.35 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…a01abacked Nuggets | 63c | 635.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.97 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Nuggets | 60c | 600$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.82 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16f…27c9backed Nuggets | 63c | 556.3$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb004…51b4backed Kings | 29c | 507.24$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Kings | 26c | 500.02$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.36 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Nuggets | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…bc7fbacked Kings | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Kings | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Nuggets | 63c | 444$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.28 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…e5ffbacked Nuggets | 64c | 434.38$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.38 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Kings | 37c | 410$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.7 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Nuggets | 75c | 408.88$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.58 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Nuggets | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7713…9c51backed Nuggets | 67c | 390.89$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Nuggets | 68c | 390.67$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.54 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Kings | 18c | 383$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.46 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Nuggets | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb43c…d43bbacked Kings | 27c | 300$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Kings | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Nuggets | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Kings | 35c | 285.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…df44backed Nuggets | 64c | 270$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…c25ebacked Kings | 40c | 249.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…109ebacked Kings | 40c | 242.8$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7e…54ddbacked Nuggets | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Kings | 39c | 227.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Nuggets | 59c | 212.03$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.49 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Nuggets | 60c | 201$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Kings | 6c | 200.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.