TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-04-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$130,098
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$156,197

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,098 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes39c47,995$18,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,276.871241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73cb…b0d0backed No61c30,684$18,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,708.292653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfda…bedebacked No61c18,000$11,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,009.985349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed No10c11,990$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.6920744%91 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No60c5,216$3,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,134.2917745.8%81 W · 96 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Yes72c4,579$3,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,291.665141.2%21 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+26.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc36…1fa0backed Yes37c3,975$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,500.46837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb377…f621backed No61c3,062$1,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,867.624143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3550…68b6backed No7c2,946$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.285413%7 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b8…612abacked Yes40c2,500$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5001844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No20c2,170$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.1179650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc055…1299backed No61c1,376$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad16…e610backed Yes39c1,376$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39069772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4dc3…fce2backed No32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3205653.6%30 W · 26 L+8.1wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+64.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes54c929.87$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.877341.1%30 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f95…9bd4backed Yes79c833$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.912263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No60c765.5$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.0640640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ac…7f5abacked No57c750$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa3…072dbacked No25c712.86$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.375558.2%32 W · 23 L+8.0wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+23%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No61c699.85$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.6741437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No38c638.62$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.838645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Yes79c632.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.915238.5%20 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes40c602.53$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.5229044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Yes78c526.2$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.72347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed No68c504.28$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.915345.3%24 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Yes60c453$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.23658.3%21 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked No61c435.92$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.313836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-31.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Yes76c434.68$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.616854.4%37 W · 31 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes38c405$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.181,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes38c400$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24817447.7%83 W · 91 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Yes38c371.56$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.8421445.8%98 W · 116 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Yes40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18011761.5%72 W · 45 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcccf…4aedbacked Yes53c278.25$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.592100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+448.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed No61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1228453.6%45 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd574…425dbacked Yes69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x49dc…9830backed Yes39c182.05$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.055349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No40c166.67$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6716851.2%86 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe36…d180backed No62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No60c148$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.852060.4%314 W · 206 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No40c137.89$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5937652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2333…c1f2backed Yes39c133.29$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.291952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x358b…f209backed Yes76c131.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No69c100$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6966031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6230851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Yes56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-47.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe019…018bbacked Yes40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608339.8%33 W · 50 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x596a…1219backed Yes60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c37…4e9bbacked Yes60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402552%13 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe076…184cbacked Yes72c84.99$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-53.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No59c82.83$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0390751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71b7…958dbacked Yes40c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92be…d717backed No52c72.62$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387252.8%38 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93b4…2486backed Yes60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.675853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Yes38c65.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.513857.2%79 W · 59 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0af8…9454backed Yes66c63.88$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.882661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0c…04cbbacked Yes39c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309938.4%38 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad93…c030backed Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd132…2cb5backed Yes41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.781833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No60c47.4$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4416863.1%106 W · 62 L+13.3wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+21.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Yes39c43.72$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6714643.2%63 W · 83 L-0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Yes37c40$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.218752.9%99 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes39c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.415726.8%42 W · 115 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6390…5ee8backed Yes60c39.9$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8d8…15cdbacked Yes38c39.37$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes64c39.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0629238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4964…4fddbacked Yes63c37.63$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.921060%6 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x59e7…a5a7backed Yes38c37.08$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcca1…5057backed Yes38c36.95$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd249…6a90backed Yes39c33.33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.332466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a85…9325backed Yes38c33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020958.9%123 W · 86 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd07f…6c05backed Yes38c31.58$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.58520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-47.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd000…092dbacked Yes38c31.13$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1edb…d75abacked Yes38c30.71$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d55…3e16backed Yes38c30.66$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2db…43c7backed Yes38c30.39$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.842100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+124%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ac9…99a9backed Yes38c27.79$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8708…00c8backed Yes38c27.34$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37ed…5ef5backed Yes38c26.92$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bce…c476backed Yes61c25.92$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.117346.6%34 W · 39 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd32d…3c32backed Yes40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153959%23 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ff…aa94backed Yes40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1513354.9%73 W · 60 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155541.8%23 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12e6…5468backed Yes40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156457.8%37 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76c5…43debacked No64c23.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfae5…a5a8backed No64c22.58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5229…2785backed No64c21.7$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8011…e98ebacked Yes52c20.83$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105257.7%30 W · 22 L+8.7wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+103.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89357%53 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45db…a9bebacked Yes76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.81163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26db…f23cbacked No64c19.64$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeebb…5bb1backed No64c19.19$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…20cabacked No64c18.31$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd10…6ee1backed No64c18.03$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3259…a40fbacked No64c17.88$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6fe…c26fbacked No64c16.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.