Premier League · resolved market
Will Brighton win on 2025-04-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8687c3842445d00e4a62ea9947dc807fa3179d60b347e6dd55dc5941c80ce7a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,404
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,404 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb00f…db97backed Yes | 35c | 23,151$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed No | 66c | 10,779$7,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,672.74 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed No | 66c | 9,449$6,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,192.36 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 65c | 7,020$4,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430.48 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 34c | 7,000$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 34c | 4,727$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.44 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Yes | 4c | 4,118$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.04 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 23c | 2,672$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.23 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…bedebacked Yes | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 66c | 1,785$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.47 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked No | 66c | 1,333$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.08 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 18c | 1,222$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.96 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 19c | 1,057$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.29 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked No | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 65c | 731.99$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.56 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Yes | 19c | 564.72$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.7 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Yes | 33c | 488.13$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.02 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 65c | 342.84$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x716c…65cabacked Yes | 8c | 299.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…b5cbbacked No | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 64c | 281.94$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.68 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 66c | 202.94$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 66c | 150.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.58 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 66c | 136$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.24 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Yes | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0d…c3fbbacked Yes | 35c | 111.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 65c | 106.57$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…7f5ebacked Yes | 35c | 103.54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe019…018bbacked Yes | 34c | 102.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 34c | 100.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c37…4e9bbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 68c | 69.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…05b2backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f22…a26ebacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 67c | 52.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…176bbacked Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed No | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 66c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…6b3ebacked No | 68c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brighton win on 2025-04-05?this page
- Will Crystal Palace vs. Brighton end in a draw?No won
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-04-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.