NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Bucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61ed79d0cf5519aa8f03aa37e34d621657509a300155392027bef9c6f56aeea3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Pelicans, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $385,009
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $411,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $385,009 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b6b…68eebacked Pelicans | 8c | 24,813$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.06 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…dea4backed Pelicans | 9c | 23,333$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans | 11c | 17,210$1,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.99 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…5fd7backed Pelicans | 12c | 14,468$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669.99 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Pelicans | 6c | 12,338$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.83 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Pelicans | 4c | 11,541$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.41 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Pelicans | 12c | 10,699$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.84 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Pelicans | 9c | 9,874$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.86 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pelicans | 11c | 8,170$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.77 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d92…83efbacked Pelicans | 8c | 7,800$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans | 17c | 7,100$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.08 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Pelicans | 11c | 6,366$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.26 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Pelicans | 11c | 6,100$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.19 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Pelicans | 9c | 4,987$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.85 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Pelicans | 13c | 3,332$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.54 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Pelicans | 10c | 3,287$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.9 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Pelicans | 2c | 2,833$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Pelicans | 11c | 2,818$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.78 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Pelicans | 9c | 2,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Pelicans | 8c | 2,500$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.35 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Pelicans | 2c | 2,295$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.21 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Pelicans | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pelicans | 7c | 2,100$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Pelicans | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Pelicans | 4c | 1,700$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca34…8cb1backed Pelicans | 12c | 1,675$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…a1e9backed Pelicans | 10c | 1,465$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Pelicans | 2c | 1,300$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Pelicans | 10c | 1,269$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.04 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x477e…f63ebacked Pelicans | 10c | 1,252$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fb…e089backed Pelicans | 7c | 1,139$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Pelicans | 1c | 1,010$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Pelicans | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Pelicans | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6f…ea97backed Pelicans | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed Pelicans | 10c | 999.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 407 | 26%106 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Pelicans | 11c | 930.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pelicans | 11c | 919.17$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.08 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Pelicans | 8c | 844.5$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Pelicans | 3c | 800$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…c25ebacked Pelicans | 11c | 797.98$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.78 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pelicans | 10c | 761.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.64 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pelicans | 8c | 725.28$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.34 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Pelicans | 9c | 715.44$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.3 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Pelicans | 16c | 710$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.7 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Pelicans | 14c | 674.23$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcf…76e3backed Pelicans | 2c | 617.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Pelicans | 10c | 521.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Pelicans | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Pelicans | 10c | 436.73$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Pelicans | 10c | 419$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Pelicans | 7c | 410$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…df44backed Pelicans | 11c | 370.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Pelicans | 9c | 345$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…5c4cbacked Pelicans | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x498f…7b7fbacked Pelicans | 15c | 267.68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Pelicans | 10c | 252.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 190 | 38.4%73 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…045fbacked Pelicans | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Pelicans | 10c | 249.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 345 | 48.7%168 W · 177 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b73…e92abacked Pelicans | 11c | 232$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf65…45d7backed Pelicans | 9c | 215.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Pelicans | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Pelicans | 10c | 199.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 302 | 43.7%132 W · 170 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd132…2cb5backed Pelicans | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ef…0b1dbacked Pelicans | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Pelicans | 18c | 172.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 166 | 17.5%29 W · 137 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Pelicans | 12c | 170$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219f…1113backed Pelicans | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…3917backed Pelicans | 11c | 163.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Pelicans | 7c | 157$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…fa16backed Pelicans | 11c | 136.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68b0…c482backed Pelicans | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Pelicans | 14c | 120$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Pelicans | 10c | 112.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacd7…ce6bbacked Pelicans | 11c | 103.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6675…5976backed Pelicans | 11c | 102.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Pelicans | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630a…8339backed Pelicans | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa78d…9aa3backed Pelicans | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Pelicans | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 852 | 48.9%417 W · 435 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Pelicans | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Pelicans | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Pelicans | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…ae06backed Pelicans | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.