Movies · resolved market
Will 'Minecraft' gross more than 70m on opening weekend?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb09c897f024fb1f02a4dc53101858baf6388ffabb5641c6b33ced3375c062e77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $345,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $335,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $345,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc629…aa40backed No | 0c | 110,000$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3399…e5fbbacked No | 2c | 12,345$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.87 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 48c | 11,541$5,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,030.22 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +24.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x16f7…5afcbacked No | 1c | 8,062$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked No | 0c | 6,118$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d8…a0a6backed Yes | 79c | 5,578$4,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.5 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…a1f0backed Yes | 23c | 4,423$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,401.46 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8abf…e30dbacked No | 26c | 4,169$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 54c | 4,161$2,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.78 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed No | 10c | 3,499$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3b…e2f5backed No | 1c | 3,344$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x116f…9210backed Yes | 48c | 3,243$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698.48 | 101 | 23.8%24 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe28…e921backed No | 1c | 3,060$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e39…4e41backed No | 7c | 2,500$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.8 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed No | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d34…7c14backed Yes | 54c | 2,314$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.44 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…9fe6backed Yes | 77c | 2,300$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…e1e3backed No | 1c | 2,222$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2c…407ebacked No | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3c…c31ebacked Yes | 19c | 2,000$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 1c | 1,738$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 98 | 3.1%3 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -89%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x280f…60a9backed No | 1c | 1,625$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c5…b081backed Yes | 44c | 1,621$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.22 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ec…f99ebacked No | 5c | 1,301$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.25 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa880…d095backed No | 36c | 1,154$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2c…9b1cbacked No | 1c | 1,134$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…c3f9backed No | 2c | 1,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d92…c717backed No | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…54a5backed No | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe461…9a34backed No | 10c | 816.7$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ca…2f89backed No | 14c | 701.66$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…b8a8backed No | 5c | 604.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…64ddbacked No | 5c | 584.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20f4…5ffcbacked No | 33c | 566.67$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.5 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…ee7ebacked No | 29c | 553.55$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.7 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed No | 6c | 535.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 128 | 6.3%8 W · 120 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d6…f3bdbacked No | 28c | 520$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.2 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed No | 27c | 519.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe22…66b3backed No | 3c | 518.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3338…7624backed No | 25c | 500.35$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked No | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -72%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 66c | 465.41$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.48 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6b…fba5backed No | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4427…498dbacked Yes | 9c | 450$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.42 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef05…3dffbacked Yes | 67c | 450$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb288…fa0fbacked No | 5c | 439.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89a5…cd84backed Yes | 22c | 424.76$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.76 | 99 | 32.3%32 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked No | 24c | 420$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…40d8backed No | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf933…52fbbacked Yes | 50c | 392.85$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.77 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc032…6668backed Yes | 12c | 329.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 27c | 273.31$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.82 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9949…3f3bbacked No | 4c | 251.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Yes | 73c | 250$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…511bbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +303.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28f…b499backed Yes | 67c | 241.92$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Yes | 72c | 221.58$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.05 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…d83fbacked No | 23c | 213.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 66c | 194.5$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.29 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 19c | 191.23$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa6…16f9backed Yes | 8c | 181$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.33 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +30.5wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…5b93backed Yes | 15c | 170$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.2 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…3797backed Yes | 68c | 159.6$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb18…6ed0backed No | 69c | 155.71$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.71 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef17…6583backed Yes | 70c | 142.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.98 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…76a4backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -6.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd7…eb50backed Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2880…fa70backed No | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9c37…c8f0backed No | 36c | 75.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f52…6671backed Yes | 14c | 75.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +145%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5429…a2ecbacked Yes | 16c | 64.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…c691backed No | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 23c | 54.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.04 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x023b…5ab1backed Yes | 71c | 52.79$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 131 | 35.1%46 W · 85 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…55bcbacked No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82f0…37adbacked Yes | 77c | 45.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8b…e143backed Yes | 67c | 40.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4187…8739backed Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa5…d98bbacked Yes | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccc…a831backed Yes | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -40%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 'Minecraft' gross more than 70m on opening weekend?this page
- Will 'Minecraft' gross between 46-52m on opening weekend?No won
- Will 'Minecraft' gross between 48-64m on opening weekend?No won
- Will 'Minecraft' gross between 52-58m on opening weekend?No won
- Will 'Minecraft' gross between 64-70m on opening weekend?No won
- Will 'Minecraft' gross less than 46m on opening weekend?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.