Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: 1win vs Power Rangers (BO5) - PGL Wallachia: Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bb585b557e285f0a39b672634a6536b5dff876f9158d7bd003bb09eca239940
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Power Rangersof 1win, Power Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,770
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 1win | 20c | 2,229$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.18 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked 1win | 27c | 2,146$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.14 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed 1win | 33c | 782.71$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.39 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed 1win | 17c | 673.82$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.7 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Power Rangers | 77c | 387.65$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.65 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb83d…3560backed Power Rangers | 61c | 330.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.57 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Power Rangers | 74c | 320.36$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.21 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…5b93backed 1win | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Power Rangers | 40c | 247.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.35 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked 1win | 21c | 243.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…7f75backed Power Rangers | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.35 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…6f16backed Power Rangers | 65c | 179.04$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6698…e620backed 1win | 29c | 160.34$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked 1win | 25c | 149.76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked 1win | 37c | 139.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.59 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked 1win | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed 1win | 23c | 137.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2598…5e58backed Power Rangers | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 78cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f2…d8b1backed 1win | 14c | 131.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Power Rangers | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4c…433dbacked 1win | 50c | 120.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61d9…e0cebacked 1win | 11c | 107.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Power Rangers | 50c | 100.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 161 | 55.3%89 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 1win | 16c | 97.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03a2…7e3ebacked Power Rangers | 70c | 80.73$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce23…9c7bbacked Power Rangers | 79c | 69$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7e1fbacked 1win | 30c | 63.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…ecebbacked 1win | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35e…20e7backed Power Rangers | 71c | 52.46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc8…d266backed Power Rangers | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c89…259dbacked Power Rangers | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…3a44backed 1win | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 70cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Power Rangers | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: 1win vs Power Rangers (BO5) - PGL Wallachia: Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: 1win vs Power Rangers - Game 1 WinnerPower Rangers won
- Dota 2: 1win vs Power Rangers - Game 2 WinnerPower Rangers won
- Dota 2: 1win vs Power Rangers - Game 3 Winner1win won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.