NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. 76ers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd594ef1ef47c500da43e9ce6faf0cb87c46fe34472ccd44b222d6a5a4e1a1dbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $316,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $360,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $316,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed 76ers | 9c | 39,502$3,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,555.21 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed 76ers | 18c | 21,541$3,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,792.7 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed 76ers | 10c | 12,550$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.46 | 88 | 27.3%24 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…db97backed 76ers | 14c | 10,627$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed 76ers | 10c | 8,399$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.78 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked 76ers | 7c | 6,539$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.85 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed 76ers | 9c | 5,411$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.69 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked 76ers | 0c | 5,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed 76ers | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked 76ers | 9c | 4,837$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.5 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed 76ers | 10c | 4,522$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.49 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed 76ers | 12c | 3,695$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.04 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked 76ers | 3c | 2,640$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.38 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed 76ers | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed 76ers | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed 76ers | 21c | 1,954$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.83 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked 76ers | 12c | 1,681$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca34…8cb1backed 76ers | 12c | 1,677$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…82c7backed 76ers | 14c | 1,636$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked 76ers | 22c | 1,634$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.95 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed 76ers | 10c | 1,279$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.37 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed 76ers | 9c | 1,239$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.04 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed 76ers | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed 76ers | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed 76ers | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed 76ers | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed 76ers | 9c | 999.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed 76ers | 3c | 928.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked 76ers | 18c | 677.15$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked 76ers | 7c | 659.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a0…f8aabacked 76ers | 9c | 610.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab11…1350backed 76ers | 9c | 578.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74a1…7d64backed 76ers | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed 76ers | 11c | 540.64$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.47 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…3ee3backed 76ers | 9c | 511.11$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed 76ers | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed 76ers | 9c | 487$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.83 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82e…e8afbacked 76ers | 4c | 473$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed 76ers | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1091…7898backed 76ers | 9c | 450$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed 76ers | 7c | 406.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed 76ers | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf0…3251backed 76ers | 9c | 395.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd95e…6096backed 76ers | 10c | 388.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1b…75d8backed 76ers | 13c | 387.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…a688backed 76ers | 9c | 344.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +11.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3d…541dbacked 76ers | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b7…165cbacked 76ers | 9c | 325$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee1f…9cedbacked 76ers | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 122 | 29.5%36 W · 86 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c35…1a76backed 76ers | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed 76ers | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…510dbacked Timberwolves | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…a1e9backed 76ers | 9c | 298.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed 76ers | 10c | 280$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683d…ed3fbacked 76ers | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c86…0ae2backed 76ers | 9c | 255.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked 76ers | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcca2…e321backed 76ers | 9c | 216$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked 76ers | 12c | 204.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed 76ers | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 248 | 46.4%115 W · 133 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed 76ers | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…276fbacked 76ers | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed 76ers | 9c | 191.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…5b93backed 76ers | 20c | 190$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…af2ebacked 76ers | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8538…956cbacked 76ers | 10c | 152.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b4…7fa0backed 76ers | 10c | 152.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x111e…e61abacked 76ers | 10c | 145.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219f…1113backed 76ers | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91ed…e60abacked 76ers | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 153 | 16.3%25 W · 128 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked 76ers | 9c | 112.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 269 | 33.5%90 W · 179 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c5…20debacked 76ers | 9c | 112$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a9…d876backed 76ers | 10c | 105$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed 76ers | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 718 | 23.3%167 W · 551 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5949…6d11backed 76ers | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked 76ers | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 229 | 39.7%91 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked 76ers | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed 76ers | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 190 | 38.4%73 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed 76ers | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa78d…9aa3backed 76ers | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04aa…d2d2backed 76ers | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a31…ca79backed 76ers | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33e…90d0backed 76ers | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c02…b4d4backed 76ers | 12c | 99.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 336 | 39%131 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Timberwolves | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.