Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City win on 2025-04-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79e3b601da5c99f34dadb2e73d00ddde68c3b3b4fe2573348d27d3ca698e5416
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $211,405
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $274,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,405 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18d2…81e0backed Yes | 61c | 37,677$22,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,694.02 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed No | 39c | 15,000$5,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,849.99 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 39c | 14,908$5,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,814.11 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 61c | 10,041$6,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,928.01 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked No | 37c | 9,066$3,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,323.58 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 37c | 7,263$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,720.4 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Yes | 64c | 6,936$4,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530.89 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed No | 50c | 6,108$3,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,045 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 37c | 5,834$2,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158.91 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…68eebacked No | 40c | 5,680$2,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,271.98 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x623f…395ebacked Yes | 64c | 4,877$3,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775.73 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 64c | 3,884$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.25 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…0c2ebacked No | 36c | 3,707$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 63c | 3,322$2,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.97 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…2adbbacked Yes | 63c | 3,252$2,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.57 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 37c | 3,203$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.86 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 36c | 3,137$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.07 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf427…5275backed No | 36c | 3,118$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 38c | 2,741$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.42 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf73e…e2d7backed Yes | 64c | 2,412$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2995…d5babacked Yes | 64c | 2,309$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe5…ee97backed Yes | 62c | 2,220$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 36c | 2,178$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.24 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dde…fb61backed Yes | 64c | 2,104$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Yes | 65c | 1,670$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.3 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Yes | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…e9cdbacked No | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 62c | 1,470$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.66 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 67c | 1,400$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.55 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…58f1backed Yes | 57c | 1,246$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.5 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 60c | 1,167$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 63c | 1,100$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.99 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Yes | 65c | 1,068$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.96 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x811e…8733backed Yes | 60c | 1,017$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 61c | 1,000$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb553…a77bbacked Yes | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 45c | 1,000$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb72…8b01backed Yes | 18c | 999.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +138.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed No | 28c | 999.98$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3813…a558backed Yes | 60c | 999.98$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadc1…bfedbacked No | 38c | 995$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0678…9fd0backed Yes | 58c | 900$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa94e…c540backed Yes | 64c | 830$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a6…a888backed Yes | 65c | 830$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked No | 38c | 775.68$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.76 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Yes | 64c | 750$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae2…7e82backed No | 38c | 745$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 60c | 700$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ad…7a9bbacked Yes | 62c | 625$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 4c | 600$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 79c | 577.01$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.3 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…66a1backed Yes | 60c | 500.37$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 60c | 499$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.6 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 22c | 498.02$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.79 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Yes | 65c | 427.21$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.75 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fa…4d49backed Yes | 62c | 418.57$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.24 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…6913backed Yes | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…a97bbacked No | 35c | 415$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…bc89backed Yes | 63c | 411.89$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9968…a104backed Yes | 59c | 407.63$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.83 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 63c | 387.28$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.29 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac26…38b6backed Yes | 62c | 375$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Yes | 61c | 370.9$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.65 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…5b93backed Yes | 47c | 370$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.3 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 48c | 364.74$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.49 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 60c | 357.56$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.21 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Yes | 65c | 357.46$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.86 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1626…d78dbacked Yes | 61c | 352.46$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 62c | 349.97$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.99 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 40c | 321.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.8 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed No | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 36c | 273$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.85 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1225…3a54backed No | 35c | 265$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed No | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 35c | 259.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.8 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Yes | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 61 | 77%47 W · 14 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…97c7backed No | 35c | 240$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc92…ac10backed Yes | 49c | 232.72$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +277.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e06…602dbacked No | 38c | 225$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 60c | 224.58$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.91 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc3…8769backed Yes | 61c | 213.11$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 42c | 207.43$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.17 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc133…bdf0backed Yes | 61c | 197.36$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.97 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf51c…f64fbacked Yes | 65c | 169.23$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc258…447bbacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…95fcbacked Yes | 65c | 165$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccf…b88ebacked Yes | 65c | 157.11$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa756…48b3backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb913…b77ebacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 62c | 137.9$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.22 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe060…fda8backed No | 39c | 129.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 36c | 125$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-04-12?this page
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-04-12?No won
- Will Manchester City vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.