Australian A League · resolved market
Will Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x188e53b9e7f7cccf5d1f6cc219132ee2da6ad4cb6098e3f1ad843800dfbb8a9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Yes | 59c | 7,117$4,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,225.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 58c | 4,284$2,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,793.17 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 36c | 1,812$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.99 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked Yes | 23c | 1,200$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 58c | 888.53$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.04 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 15c | 730.94$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.12 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 636.74$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.65 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 505.08$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.98 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 61c | 498.86$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.45 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 24c | 419.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked No | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…840bbacked No | 78c | 212.45$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 76cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 39c | 190.8$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.46 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 168.99$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 55c | 155.15$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.44 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…ee4dbacked Yes | 24c | 147.65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 146.33$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Yes | 69c | 124.83$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 24c | 124.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 22cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 24c | 85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 76c | 85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…a583backed No | 72c | 84.57$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.37per pick | 52cpaid | +127%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…5b93backed Yes | 69c | 72.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked No | 38c | 68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.46 | 25 | 88%22 W · 3 L | +7.3wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9b82…3541backed No | 43c | 62.79$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 41c | 60.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 33c | 57.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -13.0wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 78c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 22c | 52.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked No | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed No | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 68c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…bce9backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-02-22?Yes won
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.