Australian A League · resolved market
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80850be202d9ed8ff25bd8b01992e3100e6a9e2104745f5b831047b6659d926d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,190
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,190 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 0c | 19,286$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 67c | 2,944$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.14 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed No | 21c | 2,897$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,288.43 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +19.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 21c | 2,079$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.15 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 44c | 1,721$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.76 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 45c | 1,612$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.96 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 18c | 1,162$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.66 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 46c | 917.77$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.82 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb0…9a6cbacked No | 45c | 808.06$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed No | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 21c | 520.92$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.53 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 458.43$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.66 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 20c | 432.26$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.69 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 55c | 340.05$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.18 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 55c | 273$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.9 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 54c | 257.9$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.12 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Yes | 45c | 221.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 34c | 199.69$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.11 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 48c | 191.04$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.7 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 56c | 171.63$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.07 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -7.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 37c | 154.74$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.12 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9d…c3eebacked Yes | 56c | 152.32$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.3 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 49c | 135.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.36 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 77c | 135.72$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.47 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…a0b7backed Yes | 56c | 132.14$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 46c | 103$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.97 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 36c | 102.13$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.65 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 43c | 100.87$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed No | 25c | 100.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.55 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…3961backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Yes | 64c | 94.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.79 | 38 | 78.9%30 W · 8 L | +8.8wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Yes | 57c | 77.36$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Yes | 20c | 77.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked No | 44c | 73.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +5.0wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f3…0979backed Yes | 29c | 72.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked No | 20c | 70.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.64 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +45%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 58c | 57.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed No | 57c | 52.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed No | 27c | 52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 55c | 51.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 44c | 47.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 21c | 47.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +5.7wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 45c | 45.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked No | 44c | 45.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…ee4dbacked Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes | 64c | 39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…106cbacked Yes | 57c | 35.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2031…5ee7backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 54c | 33.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Yes | 57c | 33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 33c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 67c | 29.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked Yes | 76c | 27.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d59…811bbacked Yes | 76c | 27.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…98b8backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 47c | 26.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -7.7wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5f50…79e3backed Yes | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed No | 69c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 59c | 17.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1c6ebacked Yes | 76c | 15.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-22?this page
- Will Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-02-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.