Australian A League · resolved market
Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-02-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22b41c8074d069f1edbb5c38906d70c952803f9de0c31fef6e61d237d1e6a419
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,837
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,837 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 21c | 5,790$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,570.86 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 16c | 3,146$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.45 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Yes | 5c | 2,952$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,817.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +998.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 37c | 2,860$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.05 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Yes | 15c | 2,681$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,281.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +191.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 2,616$2,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,068.44 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 2,150$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.17 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 3c | 1,636$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 22c | 1,499$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.34 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 1,065$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.76 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.38 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e8…1bb9backed Yes | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +115.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53f7…2544backed Yes | 22c | 839.78$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.54 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 67c | 627$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.22 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 21c | 619.69$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.89 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 79c | 592.37$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.57 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 77c | 577.88$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.31 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 22c | 574.56$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.56 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 78c | 502.14$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.69 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.1 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +5.0wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 9c | 485.24$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 76c | 476$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.04 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 62c | 424.02$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.82 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 13c | 384.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.7 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Yes | 28c | 364.72$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.83 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +19.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Yes | 15c | 338.86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…6a3abacked Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6603…959ebacked Yes | 11c | 220.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed No | 8c | 200.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a05…5e25backed No | 9c | 198$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 45c | 173.66$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.45 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 12c | 158.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.33 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9d…c3eebacked Yes | 22c | 144.27$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.53 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 68c | 125.65$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.17 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 77c | 125.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…2ea6backed Yes | 66c | 124.75$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.18 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed No | 56c | 118.31$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc2…757cbacked No | 80c | 117.39$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 77cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9384…8a95backed Yes | 12c | 110$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +247.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 22c | 95.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.45 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes | 21c | 93.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.21 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +178.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +62%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 22c | 85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed No | 80c | 67.81$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf174…d052backed Yes | 16c | 63.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 32cpaid | +252.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 78c | 60$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.76 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 41c | 58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 80c | 55$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed Yes | 21c | 51.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…8dd8backed No | 72c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x270d…a696backed No | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…ee4dbacked No | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…a583backed Yes | 71c | 26.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.37per pick | 52cpaid | +127%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 79c | 16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 80c | 15.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked No | 79c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-02-22?this page
- Will Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.