Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump announce tariffs on Australia on April 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49f6d75de66f9aa522d4a69f71d5f1cd80bc78e6434f22102f2ccdc3f39a3576
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab7b…f350backed Yes | 41c | 4,395$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.53 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…07aabacked No | 64c | 3,086$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.53 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed No | 42c | 2,185$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.37 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 52c | 1,994$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.22 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab5d…a21bbacked Yes | 65c | 1,210$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…f8e8backed Yes | 56c | 1,061$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 69c | 1,057$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.76 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 54c | 1,001$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.02 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…f6c2backed No | 28c | 987.41$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.15 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…b227backed Yes | 26c | 671.5$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d0…2731backed Yes | 29c | 625$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed No | 76c | 585$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…7737backed Yes | 11c | 570.51$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.2 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x21fe…da90backed Yes | 22c | 520.46$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.59 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…cf93backed Yes | 42c | 490.36$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.48 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…57febacked No | 66c | 428.99$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.79 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…a3dbbacked No | 58c | 399.99$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +236.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked Yes | 30c | 376$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.62 | 172 | 38.4%66 W · 106 L | -14.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 32c | 372.69$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.41 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…3d29backed Yes | 21c | 340$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed No | 59c | 326.07$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.87 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…5b93backed Yes | 38c | 314.48$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…76f6backed No | 42c | 299$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.42 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed No | 57c | 295$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.85 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d5…a6dcbacked Yes | 6c | 290$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 36c | 257.62$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.59 | 235 | 43.8%103 W · 132 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67db…21adbacked No | 57c | 255$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.8 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b02…fb77backed No | 71c | 225$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b8…4ee0backed Yes | 50c | 223.59$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.75 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed No | 40c | 211.39$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.93 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe9…8308backed No | 47c | 210$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.02 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x995d…bd40backed No | 50c | 200.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 25cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked No | 55c | 200$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked Yes | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +7.5wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb31…916dbacked Yes | 29c | 185$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fb…2771backed No | 75c | 155.75$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7a…e5d7backed No | 71c | 155$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ef…c75bbacked Yes | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb18…6ed0backed Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…b945backed Yes | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f0…3213backed No | 61c | 148.52$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Yes | 12c | 146.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 45c | 142.77$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.52 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd67…e79fbacked No | 71c | 140$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d59…e8a8backed Yes | 39c | 138.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4216…2daabacked No | 71c | 135$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…030bbacked No | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…aba8backed No | 61c | 127.05$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e73…a236backed Yes | 55c | 126.31$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.48 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…7ffabacked Yes | 40c | 120.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 59c | 120$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.6 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…b3f8backed No | 71c | 115$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…0ab0backed No | 64c | 110.36$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…92c5backed Yes | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5293…4b34backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb53…4576backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0584…f0d8backed Yes | 22c | 89.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.78 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb882…e13ebacked No | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9265…3c25backed Yes | 57c | 64.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 58c | 57.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…fcb0backed Yes | 60c | 57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b23…91d6backed Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa637…686dbacked Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd168…f3cfbacked No | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd5…605abacked No | 71c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 39c | 41.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.69 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…e868backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0f…7b8abacked Yes | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25fd…a641backed No | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf45…fca9backed No | 57c | 31.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa344…8141backed Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4acf…eaf1backed No | 68c | 29.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a6…efddbacked Yes | 48c | 29.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9920…3fc4backed Yes | 43c | 26.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb6…6d4fbacked Yes | 59c | 26.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed No | 60c | 25.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3b…3035backed Yes | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…9a64backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79e5…0175backed Yes | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadaa…6649backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 318 | 40.3%128 W · 190 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd7…eb50backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd9…5dffbacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2af…e23ebacked No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump announce tariffs on Australia on April 2?this page
- Will Trump announce tariffs on Brazil on April 2?No won
- Will Trump announce tariffs on Canada on April 2?No won
- Will Trump announce tariffs on China on April 2?Yes won
- Will Trump announce tariffs on France on April 2?No won
- Will Trump announce tariffs on Germany on April 2?No won
- Will Trump announce tariffs on India on April 2?Yes won
- Will Trump announce tariffs on Japan on April 2?Yes won
- Will Trump announce tariffs on Mexico on April 2?No won
- Will Trump announce tariffs on Russia on April 2?No won
- Will Trump announce tariffs on South Korea on April 2?Yes won
- Will Trump announce tariffs on Venezuela on April 2?Yes won
- Will Trump announce tariffs on Vietnam on April 2?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.