Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PlayTime vs REKONIX (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff4159b334fb975f2770dbffb614e54ecfddc525e0170c9fb171aeb0049a03e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REKONIXof PlayTime, REKONIX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed PlayTime | 0c | 2,414$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed PlayTime | 34c | 2,065$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.01 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed PlayTime | 32c | 1,162$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.76 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked REKONIX | 67c | 1,154$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.17 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked REKONIX | 70c | 846.48$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.1 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked REKONIX | 66c | 800$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…5b93backed PlayTime | 34c | 583.23$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.13 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked REKONIX | 71c | 427.78$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.31 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…2ad0backed REKONIX | 78c | 336.76$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4116…555abacked PlayTime | 5c | 306.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed PlayTime | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…de18backed REKONIX | 70c | 195.63$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked REKONIX | 60c | 184.2$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.78 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked REKONIX | 59c | 170.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.02 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed REKONIX | 66c | 162.25$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.15 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked REKONIX | 55c | 148.98$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.04 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked REKONIX | 55c | 139.96$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.18 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed REKONIX | 76c | 131.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked PlayTime | 27c | 131.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…6274backed REKONIX | 65c | 116.44$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.46 | 171 | 52%89 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked PlayTime | 34c | 111.49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed PlayTime | 46c | 108.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed REKONIX | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked PlayTime | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed PlayTime | 40c | 83.32$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed PlayTime | 28c | 78.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed PlayTime | 31c | 63.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0f…956fbacked PlayTime | 28c | 61.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked PlayTime | 41c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 176 | 38.6%68 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked PlayTime | 29c | 49.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked REKONIX | 58c | 42.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x124f…7e35backed PlayTime | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed PlayTime | 49c | 40.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked REKONIX | 66c | 37.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc89c…fa27backed REKONIX | 69c | 37.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…04d0backed REKONIX | 70c | 35.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…fa40backed REKONIX | 70c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e64…714cbacked REKONIX | 75c | 29.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a9…bff3backed REKONIX | 69c | 29.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…81febacked REKONIX | 76c | 26.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…9657backed PlayTime | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b9…64c4backed REKONIX | 72c | 20.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a3…ae13backed REKONIX | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed05…6d34backed REKONIX | 70c | 17.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed REKONIX | 80c | 13.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs REKONIX (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs REKONIX - Game 1 WinnerREKONIX won
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs REKONIX - Game 2 WinnerREKONIX won
- Series: Most kills?REKONIX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.