Premier League · resolved market
Leeds United FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x665183f056b403a098be27498593107acff7652cfa17930d15d6d53d768a5791
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,802
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,620
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,802 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 24,029$14,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,484.82 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5873…f69abacked Over | 21c | 15,700$3,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,309.49 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 67c | 3,433$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.02 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7e…339abacked Over | 73c | 2,730$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e92…c03fbacked Over | 44c | 2,510$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 75c | 2,410$1,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,807.5 | 48 | 81.3%39 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 75c | 2,120$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 25c | 1,595$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.55 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.99 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Over | 45c | 1,333$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Over | 47c | 1,000$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed Over | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…e696backed Over | 60c | 922.18$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.31 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 24c | 851.69$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.99 | 120 | 20.8%25 W · 95 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 27c | 595.97$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.08 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 71c | 399.9$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.93 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ee…15cbbacked Over | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 25c | 250$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…5696backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Over | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -9.7wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd151…6431backed Under | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…45e7backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Over | 75c | 133.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 26c | 114.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.84 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 104.58$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.27 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f43…843abacked Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 43cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca51…fca8backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 68c | 95.59$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…8cd3backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 68c | 86.62$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d99…3508backed Over | 74c | 77.03$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 29c | 75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.25 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…1b07backed Under | 78c | 74.68$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f0…7e1ebacked Over | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 46c | 65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Over | 20c | 61.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Under | 25c | 55.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked Over | 19c | 51.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Over | 56c | 47.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7300backed Over | 31c | 46.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 30c | 39.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 75c | 38.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 43c | 37.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 68c | 34.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 209 | 31.6%66 W · 143 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed Over | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8881backed Under | 69c | 32.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…7d4cbacked Over | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x754d…893bbacked Over | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 61cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 69c | 29.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 65c | 25.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 426 | 58%247 W · 179 L | +24.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Over | 72c | 23.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 56c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…6564backed Over | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -8.4wins | -0.19per pick | 72cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Leeds United FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Leeds United FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Leeds United FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Leeds United FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Leeds United FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.